Math Problem Statement

Let's imagine that a company hires a group of new employees, and there's a training test they need to pass. The probability of any one employee passing the test is 0.7. There are a total of 10 new employees in the training group.

a) Find the probability that exactly 6 employees pass the test.

b) Find the probability that at most 6 employees pass the test.

c) Find the probability that more than 6 employees pass the test.

Solution

To solve these problems, we will use the binomial probability formula because each employee’s result (pass/fail) is independent, and there are a fixed number of trials (10 employees) with a consistent probability of success (0.7).

The binomial probability formula is: P(X=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nkP(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1 - p)^{n - k} where:

  • nn is the number of trials (10 employees),
  • kk is the number of successful outcomes we are interested in (e.g., 6 employees passing),
  • pp is the probability of success (0.7),
  • (nk)\binom{n}{k} is the number of ways to choose kk successes from nn trials, calculated as (nk)=n!k!(nk)!\binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k!(n - k)!}.

a) Probability that exactly 6 employees pass the test

We are looking for P(X=6)P(X = 6).

P(X=6)=(106)×0.76×(10.7)106P(X = 6) = \binom{10}{6} \times 0.7^6 \times (1 - 0.7)^{10 - 6} Calculating each part:

  • (106)=10!6!4!=210\binom{10}{6} = \frac{10!}{6! \cdot 4!} = 210
  • 0.760.11760.7^6 \approx 0.1176
  • (10.7)4=0.340.0081(1 - 0.7)^4 = 0.3^4 \approx 0.0081

Then, P(X=6)210×0.1176×0.00810.2001P(X = 6) \approx 210 \times 0.1176 \times 0.0081 \approx 0.2001

So, the probability that exactly 6 employees pass the test is approximately 0.2001.

b) Probability that at most 6 employees pass the test

"At most 6" means that 0 to 6 employees pass the test. We need to calculate P(X6)=P(X=0)+P(X=1)++P(X=6)P(X \leq 6) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + \dots + P(X = 6).

Using the binomial formula, each probability can be calculated similarly to part (a), but it’s often more efficient to use cumulative binomial tables or a calculator for this.

After calculating or using a binomial calculator: P(X6)0.3828P(X \leq 6) \approx 0.3828

Thus, the probability that at most 6 employees pass the test is approximately 0.3828.

c) Probability that more than 6 employees pass the test

"More than 6" means 7, 8, 9, or 10 employees passing. We need P(X>6)=P(X=7)+P(X=8)+P(X=9)+P(X=10)P(X > 6) = P(X = 7) + P(X = 8) + P(X = 9) + P(X = 10).

Alternatively, we can use the complement: P(X>6)=1P(X6)P(X > 6) = 1 - P(X \leq 6) Using the result from part (b): P(X>6)=10.3828=0.6172P(X > 6) = 1 - 0.3828 = 0.6172

Thus, the probability that more than 6 employees pass the test is approximately 0.6172.


Would you like more details on any of these steps?

Here are some related questions for deeper understanding:

  1. What is the probability that exactly 7 employees pass the test?
  2. How would the probability change if the probability of passing the test were 0.8 instead of 0.7?
  3. What is the probability that fewer than 4 employees pass the test?
  4. How would we find the expected number of employees to pass the test?
  5. What is the variance and standard deviation of the number of employees passing?

Tip: Using the complement rule (P(A)=1P(A)P(A') = 1 - P(A)) is often helpful for finding probabilities of events like "at most" or "more than" in binomial problems.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Binomial Distribution
Combinatorics

Formulas

Binomial Probability Formula: P(X = k) = C(n, k) * p^k * (1 - p)^(n - k)

Theorems

Binomial Theorem
Complement Rule

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12