Math Problem Statement
in a multiple choice test there are 10 questions, each question has 5 choices, one of which is correct. raj knows absolutely nothing about the subject, and guesses each answer at random. given that the pass mark is 70%, determine the probabilioty that he will pass.
Solution
Raj needs to score at least 70% on the test to pass, which means he needs to answer at least 7 out of the 10 questions correctly. Since he is guessing randomly and each question has 5 possible choices, the probability of guessing a correct answer is:
Similarly, the probability of guessing incorrectly is:
This problem can be modeled using the binomial distribution, where the probability of getting exactly correct answers in 10 trials (questions) is given by:
Where:
- is the binomial coefficient, representing the number of ways to choose correct answers from 10,
- is the probability of getting a correct answer,
- is the probability of getting an incorrect answer.
Raj needs to get at least 7 correct answers. Therefore, we need to calculate the cumulative probability of getting 7, 8, 9, or 10 correct answers:
Let me calculate this probability for you.The probability that Raj will pass the test by guessing at random and getting at least 7 out of 10 questions correct is approximately 0.000864, or 0.0864%.
Would you like further clarification on this, or any additional details?
Here are 5 related questions you might find interesting:
- How does the probability change if Raj needs to score 60% instead of 70%?
- What if Raj had some knowledge and his probability of guessing correctly increased to 0.4?
- How does the number of choices per question affect the probability of passing?
- What is the expected number of correct answers Raj will get if he guesses randomly?
- How would the probability change if there were 15 questions instead of 10?
Tip: Binomial distribution is useful for modeling the number of successes in a fixed number of independent trials, like guessing answers on a multiple-choice test.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Binomial Distribution
Cumulative Probability
Formulas
P(X = k) = binom(n, k) * p^k * (1-p)^(n-k)
Cumulative Probability: P(X >= k) = P(X = k) + P(X = k+1) + ... + P(X = n)
Theorems
Binomial Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 10-12
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