Math Problem Statement

Forty vehicles were observed at random for their speed (in kmph) on a highway with speed limit posted as 65.5 kmph and it was found that their average speed was 68.1 mph. Suppose that from past experience it was known that vehicle speeds are normally distributed with a population standard deviation of 5.9 kmph. Construct 95% confidence interval for population mean

Solution

To construct a 95% confidence interval for the population mean vehicle speed, we will use the following formula for the confidence interval of the mean when the population standard deviation (σ\sigma) is known:

Confidence Interval=(xˉZα/2σn,xˉ+Zα/2σn)\text{Confidence Interval} = \left( \bar{x} - Z_{\alpha/2} \cdot \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}, \bar{x} + Z_{\alpha/2} \cdot \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \right)

Where:

  • xˉ\bar{x} is the sample mean
  • σ\sigma is the population standard deviation
  • nn is the sample size
  • Zα/2Z_{\alpha/2} is the Z-score corresponding to the confidence level (for a 95% confidence interval, Zα/2=1.96Z_{\alpha/2} = 1.96)

Given:

  • Sample mean xˉ=68.1\bar{x} = 68.1 kmph
  • Population standard deviation σ=5.9\sigma = 5.9 kmph
  • Sample size n=40n = 40
  • Confidence level = 95%, so Zα/2=1.96Z_{\alpha/2} = 1.96

Step-by-step Calculation:

  1. Standard error of the mean (SE): SE=σn=5.940=5.96.320.9332SE = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{5.9}{\sqrt{40}} = \frac{5.9}{6.32} \approx 0.9332

  2. Margin of error (ME): ME=Zα/2SE=1.960.93321.828ME = Z_{\alpha/2} \cdot SE = 1.96 \cdot 0.9332 \approx 1.828

  3. Confidence interval: Lower limit=xˉME=68.11.82866.27\text{Lower limit} = \bar{x} - ME = 68.1 - 1.828 \approx 66.27 Upper limit=xˉ+ME=68.1+1.82869.93\text{Upper limit} = \bar{x} + ME = 68.1 + 1.828 \approx 69.93

Final Confidence Interval:

(66.27kmph,69.93kmph)(66.27 \, \text{kmph}, 69.93 \, \text{kmph})

So, the 95% confidence interval for the population mean vehicle speed is approximately (66.27 kmph, 69.93 kmph).

Would you like more details or explanations?

Here are some related questions:

  1. How does changing the confidence level affect the confidence interval?
  2. What is the importance of the population standard deviation in this calculation?
  3. How would the confidence interval change if the sample size were larger?
  4. Can you explain how to interpret the 95% confidence interval in a practical sense?
  5. What would happen if the vehicle speeds were not normally distributed?

Tip: A wider confidence interval means more uncertainty in estimating the population mean.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Confidence Interval
Normal Distribution

Formulas

Confidence Interval = (x̄ - Zα/2 * (σ / √n), x̄ + Zα/2 * (σ / √n))
Standard Error = σ / √n
Margin of Error = Zα/2 * Standard Error

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Normal Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12