Math Problem Statement

A random sample of 100 automobile owners in a particular city shows that an automobile is driven on average 23,500 km/year. The population standard deviation is 3900 km/year. The distribution of measurements is approximately normal. Construct a 99% confidence interval for the average number of km an automobile is driven annually in the particular city. What is the lower Confidence Interval boundary? What is the upper Confidence Interval boundary?

Solution

We are given the following information to construct a 99% confidence interval for the average number of kilometers driven by an automobile annually:

  • Sample mean (xˉ)=23,500 km/year(\bar{x}) = 23,500 \text{ km/year}
  • Population standard deviation (σ)=3900 km/year(\sigma) = 3900 \text{ km/year}
  • Sample size (n)=100(n) = 100
  • Confidence level = 99%

Step 1: Determine the z-score for a 99% confidence level

For a 99% confidence interval, the z-score corresponding to the tail area of 0.005 (which is 10.992=0.005\frac{1 - 0.99}{2} = 0.005) is approximately z=2.576z = 2.576.

Step 2: Compute the standard error (SE)

The standard error of the mean is calculated as: SE=σn=3900100=390010=390 km/yearSE = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{3900}{\sqrt{100}} = \frac{3900}{10} = 390 \text{ km/year}

Step 3: Calculate the margin of error (MOE)

The margin of error is given by: MOE=z×SE=2.576×390=1004.64 km/yearMOE = z \times SE = 2.576 \times 390 = 1004.64 \text{ km/year}

Step 4: Calculate the confidence interval

The 99% confidence interval for the population mean is: Confidence interval=xˉ±MOE=23,500±1004.64\text{Confidence interval} = \bar{x} \pm MOE = 23,500 \pm 1004.64 This gives:

  • Lower boundary: 23,5001004.64=22,495.3623,500 - 1004.64 = 22,495.36
  • Upper boundary: 23,500+1004.64=24,504.6423,500 + 1004.64 = 24,504.64

Thus, the 99% confidence interval is approximately:

(22,495.36 km/year,24,504.64 km/year)(22,495.36 \text{ km/year}, 24,504.64 \text{ km/year})

Answers:

  • Lower Confidence Interval boundary: 22,495.36 km/year
  • Upper Confidence Interval boundary: 24,504.64 km/year

Would you like further details on how to interpret these results, or any follow-up questions?

5 Related Questions:

  1. How would the confidence interval change if we increased the sample size?
  2. What is the effect of changing the confidence level to 95% on the interval?
  3. How would the confidence interval be affected if the population standard deviation were larger?
  4. Why do we use the z-score instead of the t-score in this calculation?
  5. What are the assumptions required for constructing this confidence interval?

Tip:

A higher confidence level results in a wider confidence interval, meaning greater certainty but less precision in the estimate.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Confidence Intervals
Normal Distribution

Formulas

Confidence Interval formula: CI = x̄ ± Z * (σ/√n)
Standard Error formula: SE = σ / √n
Margin of Error formula: MOE = Z * SE

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12