Math Problem Statement

Before changes to its management staff, an automobile assembly line operation had a scheduled mean completion time of 15.5 minutes. The standard deviation of completion times was 1.6 minutes. An analyst at the company suspects that, under new management, the mean completion time, μ, is now less than 15.5 minutes. To test this claim, a random sample of 19 completion times under new management was taken by the analyst. The sample had a mean of 15.2 minutes. Can we support, at the 0.10 level of significance, the claim that the population mean completion time under new management is less than 15.5 minutes?

Solution

The problem you provided is related to hypothesis testing for the population mean μ\mu using a one-tailed Z-test. Here's the solution step by step:


(a) State the null hypothesis H0H_0 and the alternative hypothesis H1H_1:

  • Null Hypothesis H0H_0: μ=15.5\mu = 15.5 (The mean completion time under new management is not less than 15.5 minutes.)
  • Alternative Hypothesis H1H_1: μ<15.5\mu < 15.5 (The mean completion time under new management is less than 15.5 minutes.)

(b) Determine the type of test statistic to use:

Since the population standard deviation (σ=1.6\sigma = 1.6) is known and the sample size is n=19n = 19, the appropriate test statistic is the Z-test.


(c) Find the value of the test statistic (rounded to 3 decimal places):

The formula for the Z-test statistic is:

Z=xˉμσnZ = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}}

Where:

  • xˉ=15.2\bar{x} = 15.2 (sample mean)
  • μ=15.5\mu = 15.5 (population mean under H0H_0)
  • σ=1.6\sigma = 1.6 (population standard deviation)
  • n=19n = 19 (sample size)

Substitute the values:

Z=15.215.51.619Z = \frac{15.2 - 15.5}{\frac{1.6}{\sqrt{19}}}

Z=0.31.64.3589=0.30.36710.817Z = \frac{-0.3}{\frac{1.6}{4.3589}} = \frac{-0.3}{0.3671} \approx -0.817

Z = -0.817


(d) Find the p-value (rounded to 3 or more decimal places):

For a one-tailed Z-test, the p-value corresponds to the area to the left of Z=0.817Z = -0.817 in the standard normal distribution.

Using a Z-table or statistical software, the p-value for Z=0.817Z = -0.817 is approximately:

p-value0.206p \text{-value} \approx 0.206


(e) Can we support the claim at α=0.10\alpha = 0.10 level of significance?

Compare the p-value (0.2060.206) with the significance level (α=0.10\alpha = 0.10):

  • p>αp > \alpha (0.206>0.100.206 > 0.10), so we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

Conclusion: At the 0.10 level of significance, there is not enough evidence to support the claim that the population mean completion time under new management is less than 15.5 minutes.


Let me know if you need further clarification or additional details! Here are related questions you might find helpful:

  1. What would happen if the significance level was α=0.05\alpha = 0.05?
  2. How does the sample size affect the test statistic?
  3. Why do we use the Z-test instead of the t-test in this scenario?
  4. Can we increase the power of the test by altering the sample size?
  5. How would the decision change if xˉ\bar{x} were 15.1 instead of 15.2?

Tip: Always double-check

Ask a new question for Free

By Image

Drop file here or Click Here to upload

Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Hypothesis Testing
One-Tailed Z-Test
Significance Testing

Formulas

Z = (x̄ - μ) / (σ / √n)
p-value for Z-test

Theorems

Properties of Normal Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate Statistics or Advanced High School Statistics