Math Problem Statement

A software development company claims that its new project management software has reduced the average time required to complete projects. According to past data, the population standard deviation for project completion time is known to be 15 days. The company wants to test this claim using a 5% significance level. They collect a sample of 64 completed projects and find a sample mean completion time of 82 days. Is there enough evidence to support the company's claim that the new software has reduced the average project completion time?

Solution

To determine whether there is enough evidence to support the company's claim that the new project management software has reduced the average project completion time, we can perform a hypothesis test for the population mean. Specifically, we will use a one-sample z-test because the population standard deviation is known (15 days), and the sample size (64) is large enough (n ≥ 30).

Step 1: Define the Hypotheses

Let μ0\mu_0 be the mean project completion time before the software was implemented.

  • Null hypothesis (H0H_0): The new software has not reduced the average project completion time. H0:μμ0=85 days (before software implementation)H_0: \mu \geq \mu_0 = 85 \text{ days} \ (\text{before software implementation})

  • Alternative hypothesis (HaH_a): The new software has reduced the average project completion time. Ha:μ<85 days (after software implementation)H_a: \mu < 85 \text{ days} \ (\text{after software implementation})

This is a left-tailed test, since the company claims a reduction in project completion time.

Step 2: Calculate the Test Statistic

The test statistic for a one-sample z-test is given by: z=xˉμ0σnz = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}} Where:

  • xˉ=82 days\bar{x} = 82 \text{ days} is the sample mean,
  • μ0=85 days\mu_0 = 85 \text{ days} is the population mean before the new software,
  • σ=15 days\sigma = 15 \text{ days} is the population standard deviation,
  • n=64n = 64 is the sample size.

Let’s compute the z-value.

z=82851564=3158=31.875=1.6z = \frac{82 - 85}{\frac{15}{\sqrt{64}}} = \frac{-3}{\frac{15}{8}} = \frac{-3}{1.875} = -1.6

Step 3: Determine the Critical Value and p-value

Since we are conducting a left-tailed test at a significance level of α=0.05\alpha = 0.05, we need to find the critical z-value that corresponds to α=0.05\alpha = 0.05. From the z-table:

  • The critical z-value for a left-tailed test at α=0.05\alpha = 0.05 is approximately -1.645.

Step 4: Make a Decision

  • If the test statistic zz is less than the critical value, we reject the null hypothesis.

In this case: z=1.6andzcritical=1.645z = -1.6 \quad \text{and} \quad z_{\text{critical}} = -1.645

Since 1.6-1.6 is greater than 1.645-1.645, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

Step 5: Conclusion

At the 5% significance level, there is not enough evidence to support the company's claim that the new project management software has reduced the average project completion time.


Would you like further details on any of the steps or calculations?

Here are 5 related questions you may find useful:

  1. How would the results change if we had a larger sample size?
  2. What would happen if the significance level was reduced to 1%?
  3. How do we interpret a p-value in hypothesis testing?
  4. What assumptions must be met for the z-test to be valid in this scenario?
  5. Can we use a t-test instead of a z-test? If so, when?

Tip: Always ensure your sample size is sufficiently large when using z-tests for means to avoid inaccuracies when the sample standard deviation significantly deviates from the population value.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Hypothesis Testing
One-sample Z-test
Significance Level
Normal Distribution

Formulas

z = (x̄ - μ0) / (σ / √n)

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Properties of Normal Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate (Statistics 101)