Math Problem Statement

A large university is curious if they should build another cafeteria. They plan to survey a sample of their students to see if there is strong evidence that the proportion interested in a meal plan is higher than [40%], in which case they will consider building a new cafeteria. Let [p] represent the proportion of students interested in a meal plan. Here are the hypotheses they'll use:

[\begin{aligned} H_0&: p \leq 0.40 \ H_{\text{a}}&: p > 0.40 \end{aligned}] What would be the consequence of a Type II error in this context? Choose 1 answer: Choose 1 answer: (Choice A) They don't consider building a new cafeteria when they should. A They don't consider building a new cafeteria when they should. (Choice B) They don't consider building a new cafeteria when they shouldn't. B They don't consider building a new cafeteria when they shouldn't. (Choice C) They consider building a new cafeteria when they shouldn't. C They consider building a new cafeteria when they shouldn't. (Choice D) They consider building a new cafeteria when they should. D They consider building a new cafeteria when they should.

Solution

In this context, the null hypothesis H0H_0 states that the proportion of students interested in a meal plan is less than or equal to 40%, and the alternative hypothesis HaH_{\text{a}} states that it is greater than 40%. A Type II error occurs when we fail to reject the null hypothesis when it is actually false.

In other words, a Type II error happens if the true proportion of students interested in a meal plan is actually greater than 40%, but the survey data leads the university to believe that the proportion is 40% or less. As a result, the university would fail to recognize the demand for a new cafeteria and wouldn't take action when they actually should.

Thus, the consequence of a Type II error would be:

(Choice A) They don't consider building a new cafeteria when they should.

Let me know if you would like any further explanation or have more questions!

Here are some related questions for you to explore:

  1. What would a Type I error look like in this context?
  2. How can the sample size affect the likelihood of a Type II error?
  3. What is the power of a hypothesis test, and how does it relate to Type II errors?
  4. What are the practical implications of making a Type II error in business or policy decisions?
  5. How can we minimize the risk of a Type II error when designing a survey?

Tip: To reduce the likelihood of a Type II error, increasing the sample size can help make the test more sensitive to detecting differences from the null hypothesis.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Hypothesis Testing
Type II Error
Proportions

Formulas

Null Hypothesis: H_0: p ≤ 0.40
Alternative Hypothesis: H_a: p > 0.40

Theorems

Type II Error definition

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12