Math Problem Statement

Megan would like to test whether the average commute time is noticeably different for students at two different high schools in her city, using a significance level of 0.1. In a sample of 51 students at High School 1, she gets a sample mean of 21.0 minutes and a sample standard deviation of 3.6 minutes. In a sample of 51 students at High School 2, she gets a sample mean of 17.1 minutes and a sample standard deviation of 4.4 minutes. Assume the population variances are equal.

(a) What are the null and alternative hypotheses? H0: p

<

0

HA: p

=

0

(b) What is the test statistic? (Round your answer to 3 decimal places, if needed.)

(c) Using the statistical table, the p-value is 0.01 < p-value < 0.02 .

(d) Based on the p-value, Megan should reject the null hypothesis.

(e) This data provides sufficient evidence to conclude that the average commute time for students at High School 1 is less than the average commute time for students at High School 2.

Solution

Let's analyze Megan's hypothesis test step by step:

Part (a): Null and Alternative Hypotheses

We aim to test if there is a noticeable difference in average commute times between the two high schools. The hypotheses are:

  • Null Hypothesis (H0H_0): The average commute times are equal.
    H0:μ1=μ2H_0: \mu_1 = \mu_2

  • Alternative Hypothesis (HaH_a): The average commute times are not equal (two-tailed test).
    Ha:μ1μ2H_a: \mu_1 \neq \mu_2


Part (b): Test Statistic

The test statistic for comparing two sample means assuming equal variances is computed using the formula:

t=xˉ1xˉ2Sp2(1n1+1n2)t = \frac{\bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2}{\sqrt{S_p^2 \left(\frac{1}{n_1} + \frac{1}{n_2}\right)}}

Where:

  • xˉ1=21.0\bar{x}_1 = 21.0, xˉ2=17.1\bar{x}_2 = 17.1 (sample means)
  • s1=3.6s_1 = 3.6, s2=4.4s_2 = 4.4 (sample standard deviations)
  • n1=n2=51n_1 = n_2 = 51 (sample sizes)
  • Sp2S_p^2 is the pooled variance, calculated as: Sp2=(n11)s12+(n21)s22n1+n22S_p^2 = \frac{(n_1 - 1)s_1^2 + (n_2 - 1)s_2^2}{n_1 + n_2 - 2}

Step 1: Calculate the pooled variance (Sp2S_p^2)

Sp2=(511)(3.62)+(511)(4.42)51+512S_p^2 = \frac{(51 - 1)(3.6^2) + (51 - 1)(4.4^2)}{51 + 51 - 2} Sp2=50(12.96)+50(19.36)100=648+968100=16.16S_p^2 = \frac{50(12.96) + 50(19.36)}{100} = \frac{648 + 968}{100} = 16.16

Step 2: Calculate the standard error (SESE)

SE=Sp2(1n1+1n2)=16.16(151+151)SE = \sqrt{S_p^2 \left(\frac{1}{n_1} + \frac{1}{n_2}\right)} = \sqrt{16.16 \left(\frac{1}{51} + \frac{1}{51}\right)} SE=16.16×251=0.63370.796SE = \sqrt{16.16 \times \frac{2}{51}} = \sqrt{0.6337} \approx 0.796

Step 3: Compute the tt-statistic

t=xˉ1xˉ2SE=21.017.10.796=3.90.7964.899t = \frac{\bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2}{SE} = \frac{21.0 - 17.1}{0.796} = \frac{3.9}{0.796} \approx 4.899


Part (c): pp-Value Range

From a tt-distribution table with df=n1+n22=100df = n_1 + n_2 - 2 = 100, and a tt-statistic of 4.8994.899, the pp-value is extremely small: 0.01<p-value<0.020.01 < p\text{-value} < 0.02


Part (d): Decision on H0H_0

Since the pp-value is smaller than the significance level (α=0.1\alpha = 0.1), we reject the null hypothesis.


Part (e): Conclusion

The data provides sufficient evidence to conclude that the average commute time for students at High School 1 is noticeably different from that of High School 2.


Summary of Results:

  1. (a) H0:μ1=μ2H_0: \mu_1 = \mu_2; Ha:μ1μ2H_a: \mu_1 \neq \mu_2
  2. (b) t=4.899t = 4.899
  3. (c) 0.01<p-value<0.020.01 < p\text{-value} < 0.02
  4. (d) Reject H0H_0
  5. (e) The data supports the conclusion that commute times are different.

Do you need further explanation or have any questions?

Related Questions:

  1. How would the result change if the significance level was 0.010.01?
  2. What assumptions must hold for this test to be valid?
  3. What would the tt-statistic be if the sample sizes were unequal?
  4. How is the pooled variance calculated in hypothesis testing?
  5. What is the effect of larger sample sizes on the test's power?

Tip:

When performing hypothesis tests, always confirm whether the assumptions of the test (e.g., equal variances, normality) are reasonable for the given data.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Hypothesis Testing
Two-Sample t-Test
Pooled Variance
Statistical Significance

Formulas

Test Statistic: t = (x̄1 - x̄2) / sqrt(Sp^2 * (1/n1 + 1/n2))
Pooled Variance: Sp^2 = [(n1-1)s1^2 + (n2-1)s2^2] / (n1 + n2 - 2)
Standard Error: SE = sqrt(Sp^2 * (1/n1 + 1/n2))

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
t-Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12, Undergraduate Introductory Statistics