Math Problem Statement

Every year, all incoming high school freshmen in a large school district take a math placement test. For this year’s test, the district has prepared two possible versions: Version 1 that covers more material than last year’s test and Version 2 that is similar to last year’s test. The district suspects that the mean score for Version 1 will be less than the mean score for Version 2. To examine this, over the summer the district randomly selects 75 incoming freshmen to take Version 1, and it randomly selects 95 incoming freshmen to take Version 2. The 75 incoming freshmen taking Version 1 score a mean of 112.1 points with a standard deviation of 16.1. The 95 incoming freshmen taking Version 2 score a mean of 117.9 points with a standard deviation of 18.7. At the 0.01 level of significance, is there enough evidence to support the claim that the mean test score for Version 1 is less than the mean test score for Version 2? Perform a one-tailed test.

Solution

Let's solve this step by step:

(a) State the null hypothesis H0H_0 and the alternative hypothesis H1H_1:

We are testing whether the mean test score for Version 1 (μ1\mu_1) is less than the mean test score for Version 2 (μ2\mu_2).

  • H0H_0: μ1μ2\mu_1 \geq \mu_2
  • H1H_1: μ1<μ2\mu_1 < \mu_2

(b) Determine the type of test statistic to use:

Since the population standard deviations are not given but the sample standard deviations are provided, and the sample sizes are reasonably large, we use a two-sample t-test.

(c) Find the value of the test statistic:

The formula for the test statistic in a two-sample t-test is:

t=(xˉ1xˉ2)s12n1+s22n2t = \frac{(\bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2)}{\sqrt{\frac{s_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{s_2^2}{n_2}}}

Where:

  • xˉ1=112.1\bar{x}_1 = 112.1, xˉ2=117.9\bar{x}_2 = 117.9
  • s1=16.1s_1 = 16.1, s2=18.7s_2 = 18.7
  • n1=75n_1 = 75, n2=95n_2 = 95

Step-by-step calculation:

  1. Compute the difference in sample means: xˉ1xˉ2=112.1117.9=5.8\bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2 = 112.1 - 117.9 = -5.8

  2. Compute the variances divided by sample sizes: s12n1=16.1275=259.21753.4561\frac{s_1^2}{n_1} = \frac{16.1^2}{75} = \frac{259.21}{75} \approx 3.4561 s22n2=18.7295=349.69953.6809\frac{s_2^2}{n_2} = \frac{18.7^2}{95} = \frac{349.69}{95} \approx 3.6809

  3. Add these variances: s12n1+s22n2=3.4561+3.6809=7.1372.672\sqrt{\frac{s_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{s_2^2}{n_2}} = \sqrt{3.4561 + 3.6809} = \sqrt{7.137} \approx 2.672

  4. Calculate the test statistic: t=5.82.6722.171t = \frac{-5.8}{2.672} \approx -2.171

So, the test statistic is approximately t=2.171t = -2.171.

(d) Find the critical value at the 0.01 level of significance:

For a one-tailed t-test at α=0.01\alpha = 0.01 with degrees of freedom approximated using the smaller of n11n_1 - 1 or n21n_2 - 1 (df74df \approx 74), the critical value from the t-distribution table is approximately:

tcritical=2.385t_{critical} = -2.385

(e) Can we support the claim?

Compare tt with tcriticalt_{critical}:

  • Since t=2.171t = -2.171 is not less than tcritical=2.385t_{critical} = -2.385, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

Thus, we cannot support the claim that the mean test score for Version 1 is less than the mean test score for Version 2 at the 0.01 level of significance.


Do you have any questions or need further clarifications? Here are five related questions for practice:

  1. How does the level of significance (α\alpha) affect the hypothesis test conclusion?
  2. What is the importance of sample size in hypothesis testing?
  3. What would happen if we used a two-tailed test instead of a one-tailed test in this scenario?
  4. How would changing the sample means or standard deviations impact the test statistic?
  5. Why is it necessary to assume the population standard deviations are approximately equal?

Tip: Always carefully determine whether a one-tailed or two-tailed test is required based on the research hypothesis.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Hypothesis Testing
One-Tailed Test
Two-Sample T-Test

Formulas

t = (x̄1 - x̄2) / sqrt((s1^2 / n1) + (s2^2 / n2))

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Properties of the T-Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate Level - Statistics