Math Problem Statement

A company sells sunscreen in 500 milliliter (ml) tubes. In fact, the amount of lotion in a tube varies according to a normal distribution with mean μ = 496 ml and standard deviation σ = 5 ml. Suppose a store which sells this sunscreen advertises a sale for 4 tubes for the price of 3. Consider the average amount of lotion from a SRS of 4 tubes of sunscreen and find: (a) The standard deviation of the average, x̄. (b) The probability that the average amount of sunscreen from 4 tubes will be less than 489 ml.

Solution

To solve this problem:

Given:

  • The mean amount of sunscreen in a tube: μ=496ml\mu = 496 \, \text{ml}
  • The standard deviation of the amount in a tube: σ=5ml\sigma = 5 \, \text{ml}
  • Number of tubes in the sample: n=4n = 4

Part (a): Standard deviation of the average, xˉ\bar{x}:

The formula for the standard deviation of the sample mean (xˉ\bar{x}) is:

σxˉ=σn\sigma_{\bar{x}} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}

Substitute the values:

σxˉ=54=52=2.5ml\sigma_{\bar{x}} = \frac{5}{\sqrt{4}} = \frac{5}{2} = 2.5 \, \text{ml}

So, the standard deviation of the average is 2.5 ml.


Part (b): Probability that the average amount of sunscreen from 4 tubes is less than 489 ml:

To calculate the probability, we first find the z-score for xˉ=489\bar{x} = 489.

The formula for the z-score is:

z=xˉμσxˉz = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\sigma_{\bar{x}}}

Substitute the values:

z=4894962.5=72.5=2.8z = \frac{489 - 496}{2.5} = \frac{-7}{2.5} = -2.8

Using a standard normal distribution table or a calculator, the probability corresponding to z=2.8z = -2.8 is approximately:

P(Z<2.8)0.0026P(Z < -2.8) \approx 0.0026

So, the probability that the average amount of sunscreen is less than 489 ml is 0.26%.


Final Answers:

  • (a) 2.5 ml
  • (b) 0.0026 or 0.26%

Would you like further clarifications or details? Let me know if you need help understanding any steps!


Related Questions:

  1. How does the sample size affect the standard deviation of the sample mean?
  2. Why do we assume a normal distribution for this problem?
  3. How would the probability change if the sample size increased to n=9n = 9?
  4. What is the probability that the average amount is greater than 500 ml?
  5. How is the z-score related to standard deviation in this context?

Tip:

Always double-check if the sample size is large enough for normal approximation, especially when the population distribution is not explicitly normal!

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Normal Distribution
Probability

Formulas

Standard deviation of the sample mean: σ̄ = σ / √n
Z-score formula: z = (x̄ - μ) / σ̄

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12