Math Problem Statement

A small farmer picks pumpkins from their field. The farmer samples 260 pumpkins for inspection. If 1 in 50 pumpkins are not fit for the local farmers market and will be save for seeds, what is the standard deviation of the mean of the sampling distribution of sample proportions?

Solution

To calculate the standard deviation of the mean of the sampling distribution of sample proportions, we use the following formula:

σp^=p(1p)n\sigma_{\hat{p}} = \sqrt{\frac{p(1-p)}{n}}

Where:

  • pp: The true population proportion of defective pumpkins.
  • nn: The sample size.

Step 1: Identify the given values

  • p=150=0.02p = \frac{1}{50} = 0.02 (since 1 in 50 pumpkins are not fit).
  • n=260n = 260.

Step 2: Calculate 1p1 - p

1p=10.02=0.981 - p = 1 - 0.02 = 0.98

Step 3: Plug values into the formula

σp^=p(1p)n=0.020.98260\sigma_{\hat{p}} = \sqrt{\frac{p(1-p)}{n}} = \sqrt{\frac{0.02 \cdot 0.98}{260}}

Step 4: Perform the calculation

First, calculate the numerator: 0.020.98=0.01960.02 \cdot 0.98 = 0.0196

Next, divide by nn: 0.01962600.00007538\frac{0.0196}{260} \approx 0.00007538

Now, take the square root: σp^=0.000075380.00868\sigma_{\hat{p}} = \sqrt{0.00007538} \approx 0.00868

Final Answer:

The standard deviation of the sampling distribution of sample proportions is approximately 0.00868.


Questions to Explore Further:

  1. What is the interpretation of this standard deviation in the context of the problem?
  2. How does increasing the sample size affect the standard deviation of the sampling distribution?
  3. What would happen to σp^\sigma_{\hat{p}} if the defect rate pp was higher, e.g., p=0.05p = 0.05?
  4. How can this standard deviation help in constructing confidence intervals for the defect rate?
  5. What is the probability that a sample proportion falls within one standard deviation of the mean?

Tip: Always ensure the sample size is large enough to approximate the sampling distribution of proportions using a normal distribution (np10np \geq 10 and n(1p)10n(1-p) \geq 10).

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Sampling Distribution
Proportion
Standard Deviation

Formulas

σ̂p = √[p(1-p)/n]

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12