Math Problem Statement

The water works commission needs to know the mean household usage of water by the residents of a small town in gallons per day. They would like the estimate to have a maximum error of 0.14 gallons. A previous study found that for an average family the standard deviation is 2 gallons and the mean is 16 gallons per day. If they are using a 95% level of confidence, how large of a sample is required to estimate the mean usage of water? Round your answer up to the next integer.

Solution

To find the required sample size for estimating the mean water usage with a specified maximum error and a given confidence level, we use the formula for the sample size in estimating a population mean:

n=(ZσE)2n = \left( \frac{Z \cdot \sigma}{E} \right)^2

Where:

  • nn is the required sample size.
  • ZZ is the Z-score corresponding to the desired confidence level.
  • σ\sigma is the population standard deviation.
  • EE is the maximum allowable error (also known as the margin of error).

Step 1: Determine the Z-score

For a 95% confidence level, the Z-score corresponds to the critical value of the standard normal distribution. For 95% confidence, the Z-score is approximately Z=1.96Z = 1.96.

Step 2: Plug in the known values

From the problem:

  • σ=2\sigma = 2 gallons (standard deviation),
  • E=0.14E = 0.14 gallons (maximum error),
  • Z=1.96Z = 1.96 (Z-score for 95% confidence).

Now, substitute these values into the formula:

n=(1.9620.14)2n = \left( \frac{1.96 \cdot 2}{0.14} \right)^2

n=(3.920.14)2n = \left( \frac{3.92}{0.14} \right)^2

n=(28)2n = \left( 28 \right)^2

n=784n = 784

Step 3: Round up the sample size

Since the sample size must be a whole number, round up to the next integer, which gives:

n=785n = 785

Thus, the required sample size is 785.


Would you like more details or clarification on any step? Here are five related questions for further study:

  1. How does changing the confidence level affect the required sample size?
  2. What happens if the standard deviation increases or decreases in the formula?
  3. How would you calculate the sample size if the population mean was unknown?
  4. How does the maximum error (E) influence the sample size?
  5. What is the interpretation of the Z-score in this context?

Tip: Always round up when calculating sample sizes, because rounding down could lead to a sample size that's too small to meet the required precision.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Confidence Intervals
Sample Size Calculation

Formulas

n = (Z * σ / E)^2

Theorems

Properties of the Normal Distribution
Confidence Interval Estimation

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12, College Level