Math Problem Statement

The electric cooperative needs to know the mean household usage of electricity by its non-commercial customers in kWh per day. They would like the estimate to have a maximum error of 0.15 kWh. A previous study found that for an average family the standard deviation is 1.9 kWh and the mean is 16.7 kWh per day. If they are using a 98% level of confidence, how large of a sample is required to estimate the mean usage of electricity? Round your answer up to the next integer.

Solution

To calculate the required sample size for estimating the mean with a specified maximum error, we use the following formula for sample size nn:

n=(ZσE)2n = \left( \frac{Z \cdot \sigma}{E} \right)^2

Where:

  • ZZ is the z-score corresponding to the desired confidence level,
  • σ\sigma is the population standard deviation,
  • EE is the maximum error (or margin of error) allowed.

Step-by-Step Calculation:

  1. Identify the values:

    • Confidence level = 98% → corresponding z-score (ZZ) = 2.33
    • Standard deviation (σ\sigma) = 1.9 kWh
    • Maximum error (EE) = 0.15 kWh
  2. Substitute the values into the formula:

n=(2.331.90.15)2n = \left( \frac{2.33 \cdot 1.9}{0.15} \right)^2

  1. Simplify the expression:

n=(4.4270.15)2=(29.5133)2n = \left( \frac{4.427}{0.15} \right)^2 = \left( 29.5133 \right)^2

  1. Square the result:

n=870.90n = 870.90

Since the sample size must be a whole number, and we round up, the required sample size is:

n=871n = 871

Final Answer:

The required sample size is 871.

Would you like more details or have any other questions?

Here are 5 related questions to consider:

  1. How does changing the confidence level affect the required sample size?
  2. What happens if the standard deviation is different in future studies?
  3. How is the z-score determined for different confidence levels?
  4. What if a smaller margin of error is desired?
  5. How can the cooperative ensure the sample is representative of the population?

Tip: When estimating means, a higher confidence level or a smaller margin of error will always increase the required sample size.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Sample Size Calculation
Confidence Intervals

Formulas

n = (Z * σ / E)^2

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Normal Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

College Level