Math Problem Statement
Annual high temperatures in a certain location have been tracked for several years. Let X represent the year and Y the high temperature. Based on the data shown below, calculate the regression line (each value to two decimal places).
y = x +
x y 4 33.3 5 34.4 6 29.2 7 27.1 8 25.9 9 25.6 10 20.3 11 19.4
Solution
To find the regression line for the given data, we need to use the formula for the least squares regression line:
Where:
- is the slope of the line, and
- is the y-intercept.
Step 1: Calculate the necessary sums
We need the following sums:
Let's compute these:
Step 2: Calculate the sums
I'll calculate the sums of , , , and first.
Step 3: Use the formulas for the slope and intercept
The formulas for the slope and the intercept are:
Where:
- (the number of data points).
Calculate the slope :
Calculate the intercept :
Final Regression Equation:
So the regression line is:
Let me know if you'd like further details or clarification on any step!
Related Questions:
- How would the regression line change if the data were normalized?
- What is the interpretation of the slope and intercept in the context of the data?
- How can the coefficient of determination (R-squared) be computed for this regression?
- What other methods can be used to assess the accuracy of the regression model?
- How would you predict the temperature for a year, say 12, using this model?
Tip: When performing linear regression, always check the residuals (the differences between observed and predicted values) to ensure that the model fits the data well!
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Linear Regression
Statistics
Algebra
Formulas
y = mx + b
m = (nΣxy - (Σx)(Σy)) / (nΣx² - (Σx)²)
b = (Σy - mΣx) / n
Theorems
Least Squares Method
Linear Regression Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 11-12
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