Math Problem Statement

Based on the data shown below, calculate the regression line (each value to two decimal places)

y = x +

x y 1 22.18 2 22.66 3 26.54 4 28.42 5 28.2 6 29.68 7 31.26 8 34.74 9 35.52 10 37.4 11 40.68 12 44.16

Solution

To calculate the linear regression line (also called the line of best fit), we will use the formula:

y=mx+by = mx + b

where:

  • mm is the slope of the line.
  • bb is the y-intercept.

Step 1: Calculate the slope (mm)

The formula for the slope mm is:

m=nxyxynx2(x)2m = \frac{n \sum xy - \sum x \sum y}{n \sum x^2 - (\sum x)^2}

where:

  • nn is the number of data points,
  • xy\sum xy is the sum of the products of xx and yy,
  • x\sum x is the sum of the xx-values,
  • y\sum y is the sum of the yy-values,
  • x2\sum x^2 is the sum of the squares of the xx-values.

Step 2: Compute the required sums

xxyyxyx \cdot yx2x^2
122.1822.181
222.6645.324
326.5479.629
428.42113.6816
528.20141.0025
629.68178.0836
731.26218.8249
834.74277.9264
935.52319.6881
1037.40374.00100
1140.68447.48121
1244.16529.92144

x=78,y=381.44,xy=2747.70,x2=650,n=12\sum x = 78, \quad \sum y = 381.44, \quad \sum xy = 2747.70, \quad \sum x^2 = 650, \quad n = 12

Step 3: Calculate the slope (mm)

m=12(2747.70)(78)(381.44)12(650)(78)2m = \frac{12(2747.70) - (78)(381.44)}{12(650) - (78)^2}

First, simplify the numerator and denominator:

12(2747.70)=32972.4,(78)(381.44)=29752.3212(2747.70) = 32972.4, \quad (78)(381.44) = 29752.32 12(650)=7800,(78)2=608412(650) = 7800, \quad (78)^2 = 6084

Now:

m=32972.429752.3278006084=3220.0817161.88m = \frac{32972.4 - 29752.32}{7800 - 6084} = \frac{3220.08}{1716} \approx 1.88

Step 4: Calculate the y-intercept (bb)

The formula for the y-intercept is:

b=ymxnb = \frac{\sum y - m \sum x}{n}

Substitute the values:

b=381.441.88(78)12b = \frac{381.44 - 1.88(78)}{12}

1.88(78)=146.641.88(78) = 146.64

b=381.44146.6412=234.801219.57b = \frac{381.44 - 146.64}{12} = \frac{234.80}{12} \approx 19.57

Step 5: Write the regression equation

Now that we have the slope and intercept:

y=1.88x+19.57y = 1.88x + 19.57

Final Answer

The regression line is:

y=1.88x+19.57y = 1.88x + 19.57


Do you want a step-by-step graph or any further breakdown of the calculations?

Here are five related questions to explore next:

  1. How do we interpret the slope in a regression line?
  2. How can we measure the goodness-of-fit for this regression line?
  3. What is the predicted value of yy when x=15x = 15?
  4. How do outliers affect the regression line?
  5. How would adding more data points change the slope and intercept?

Tip: The closer the points are to the regression line, the better the line represents the relationship between xx and yy.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Linear Regression
Statistics

Formulas

y = mx + b
m = (n Σxy - Σx Σy) / (n Σx² - (Σx)²)
b = (Σy - m Σx) / n

Theorems

Least Squares Method

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12