Math Problem Statement

A sales manager collected the following data on x = years of experience and y = annual sales ($1,000s). The estimated regression equation for these data is

ŷ = 81 + 4x.

SalespersonYears of ExperienceAnnual Sales ($1,000s)

1

1

80

2

3

97

3

4

97

4

4

102

5

6

103

6

8

111

7

10

119

8

10

128

9

11

117

10

13

136

(a)

Compute SST, SSR, and SSE.

SST=SSR=SSE=

(b)

Compute the coefficient of determination

r2.

(Round your answer to three decimal places.)

r2

=

Comment on the goodness of fit. (For purposes of this exercise, consider a proportion large if it is at least 0.55.)

The least squares line provided a good fit as a large proportion of the variability in y has been explained by the least squares line.The least squares line provided a good fit as a small proportion of the variability in y has been explained by the least squares line.    The least squares line did not provide a good fit as a small proportion of the variability in y has been explained by the least squares line.The least squares line did not provide a good fit as a large proportion of the variability in y has been explained by the least squares line.

(c)

What is the value of the sample correlation coefficient? (Round your answer to three decimal places.)

Solution

Let's break down the given problem and solve each part systematically.

Part (a) Compute SST, SSR, and SSE.

To calculate SST (Total Sum of Squares), SSR (Regression Sum of Squares), and SSE (Error Sum of Squares), we need to use the following formulas:

  1. SST (Total Sum of Squares): SST=(yiyˉ)2SST = \sum(y_i - \bar{y})^2 where yiy_i are the actual values of annual sales and yˉ\bar{y} is the mean of the yiy_i values.

  2. SSR (Regression Sum of Squares): SSR=(y^iyˉ)2SSR = \sum(\hat{y}_i - \bar{y})^2 where y^i\hat{y}_i are the predicted values of sales from the regression equation y^=81+4x\hat{y} = 81 + 4x.

  3. SSE (Error Sum of Squares): SSE=(yiy^i)2SSE = \sum(y_i - \hat{y}_i)^2 where yiy_i are the actual sales values and y^i\hat{y}_i are the predicted sales values.

Part (b) Compute the coefficient of determination r2r^2.

The coefficient of determination r2r^2 is calculated using the formula: r2=SSRSSTr^2 = \frac{SSR}{SST} r2r^2 tells us the proportion of variability in the dependent variable (annual sales) that can be explained by the regression model (years of experience).

Part (c) Compute the sample correlation coefficient rr.

The sample correlation coefficient rr is calculated by taking the square root of r2r^2: r=r2r = \sqrt{r^2}

Steps to solve:

  1. We have the data for years of experience (xx) and actual annual sales (yy).
  2. We'll calculate the predicted sales (y^=81+4x\hat{y} = 81 + 4x) for each salesperson.
  3. Calculate the necessary sums for SST, SSR, and SSE.
  4. Compute r2r^2 and rr.

Let me compute these values for you.### Part (a) SST, SSR, and SSE:

  • SST (Total Sum of Squares): 2472
  • SSR (Regression Sum of Squares): 2272
  • SSE (Error Sum of Squares): 200

Part (b) Coefficient of Determination (r2r^2):

r2=0.919r^2 = 0.919

This means that approximately 91.9% of the variability in the annual sales can be explained by the number of years of experience.

  • Comment on the goodness of fit: The least squares line provided a good fit as a large proportion of the variability in yy has been explained by the least squares line.

Part (c) Sample Correlation Coefficient (rr):

r=0.959r = 0.959

This shows a strong positive correlation between years of experience and annual sales.


Would you like more details or have any questions?

Here are 5 related questions:

  1. How can we interpret the slope of the regression equation?
  2. What would the predicted sales be for a salesperson with 7 years of experience?
  3. How do we know if the regression model is statistically significant?
  4. What other factors could potentially explain the variance in sales besides experience?
  5. Can we predict sales accurately for someone with 20 years of experience using this model?

Tip: The closer r2r^2 is to 1, the better the model explains the variability in the data.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Linear Regression
Statistics
Correlation
Sum of Squares

Formulas

SST = Σ(y_i - ȳ)²
SSR = Σ(ŷ_i - ȳ)²
SSE = Σ(y_i - ŷ_i)²
r² = SSR / SST
r = √r²

Theorems

Least Squares Regression
Coefficient of Determination
Sample Correlation Coefficient

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate Level, Statistics or Business Analytics