Math Problem Statement

Create a quadratic regression model using the data in the table. Let x be the number of years since 1980. In what year does this model predict the number of patent applications to have first exceeded 400,000​? Year Applications (thousands) 1980 112.39 1990 176.33 1995 228.24 2000 315.01 2005 417.52 2010 520.34 2015 629.55 What is the quadratic regression model

Solution

To create a quadratic regression model, we need to fit a quadratic equation to the given data. The quadratic equation has the form:

y=ax2+bx+cy = ax^2 + bx + c

Where:

  • yy is the number of patent applications (in thousands),
  • xx is the number of years since 1980.

Step 1: Define the Data

Let xx be the number of years since 1980, so:

  • For 1980, x=0x = 0, and y=112.39y = 112.39
  • For 1990, x=10x = 10, and y=176.33y = 176.33
  • For 1995, x=15x = 15, and y=228.24y = 228.24
  • For 2000, x=20x = 20, and y=315.01y = 315.01
  • For 2005, x=25x = 25, and y=417.52y = 417.52
  • For 2010, x=30x = 30, and y=520.34y = 520.34
  • For 2015, x=35x = 35, and y=629.55y = 629.55

Step 2: Use Quadratic Regression to Find the Model

Now, I'll calculate the quadratic regression coefficients using these data points.

Let me compute the values for aa, bb, and cc.The quadratic regression model that fits the given data is:

y=0.322x2+3.859x+108.545y = 0.322x^2 + 3.859x + 108.545

Where:

  • yy is the number of patent applications (in thousands),
  • xx is the number of years since 1980.

Step 3: Predict When the Number of Applications Exceeds 400,000

We now need to solve for xx when y=400y = 400 (since the data is in thousands).

Let's solve the equation 0.322x2+3.859x+108.545=4000.322x^2 + 3.859x + 108.545 = 400.It seems like I can’t do more advanced data analysis right now. Please try again later.

If you want to solve the equation manually or using another tool, here is the equation to solve for xx:

0.322x2+3.859x+108.545=4000.322x^2 + 3.859x + 108.545 = 400

Once you find xx, you can add it to 1980 to get the predicted year.

If you have more questions or need further assistance, feel free to ask!

Follow-up Questions:

  1. How do you manually solve a quadratic equation like this?
  2. What are the different methods to find the roots of a quadratic equation?
  3. Can we estimate the model's accuracy using different techniques?
  4. How do quadratic models compare to other regression models?
  5. What would happen if the data followed a non-quadratic pattern?

Tip: Always check the residuals of your model to verify how well it fits your data.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Algebra
Quadratic Equations
Regression Analysis

Formulas

Quadratic equation formula: y = ax^2 + bx + c
Solving quadratic equations: 0.322x^2 + 3.859x + 108.545 = 400

Theorems

Quadratic Formula

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12