Math Problem Statement

The wildlife department has been feeding a special food to rainbow trout fingerlings in a pond. Based on a large number of observations, the distribution of trout weights is normally distributed with a mean of 402.7 grams and a standard deviation of 8.8 grams. What is the probability that the mean weight for a sample of 40 trout exceeds 405.5 grams?

Solution

We are asked to find the probability that the mean weight of a sample of 40 trout exceeds 405.5 grams. Given the population parameters, we can apply the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) to address this problem.

Given:

  • Population mean (μ\mu) = 402.7 grams
  • Population standard deviation (σ\sigma) = 8.8 grams
  • Sample size (nn) = 40
  • Sample mean threshold = 405.5 grams

Step 1: Calculate the standard error of the mean (SE)

The standard error (SE) of the sample mean is given by the formula:

SE=σnSE = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}

Substituting the values:

SE=8.840=8.86.32461.391SE = \frac{8.8}{\sqrt{40}} = \frac{8.8}{6.3246} \approx 1.391

Step 2: Convert the problem into a Z-score

The Z-score is calculated using the formula:

Z=xˉμSEZ = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{SE}

Where:

  • xˉ\bar{x} is the sample mean (405.5 grams)
  • μ\mu is the population mean (402.7 grams)
  • SESE is the standard error calculated above.

Substitute the values:

Z=405.5402.71.3912.81.3912.01Z = \frac{405.5 - 402.7}{1.391} \approx \frac{2.8}{1.391} \approx 2.01

Step 3: Find the probability corresponding to the Z-score

Using a Z-table or a standard normal distribution calculator, the probability of getting a Z-score greater than 2.01 is approximately 0.0222. This represents the area under the standard normal curve to the right of Z = 2.01.

Conclusion:

The probability that the mean weight of a sample of 40 trout exceeds 405.5 grams is approximately 0.0222 or 2.22%.

Do you need more details or further clarification?

Here are 5 related questions to expand on this topic:

  1. How would the probability change if the sample size were increased to 100?
  2. What is the probability that the mean weight is less than 400 grams?
  3. Can we find the probability that a single trout weighs more than 405.5 grams?
  4. What role does the Central Limit Theorem play in this type of problem?
  5. How would the answer change if the standard deviation of the population were different?

Tip: Remember, as the sample size increases, the standard error decreases, leading to a more accurate estimate of the population mean.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Normal Distribution
Central Limit Theorem
Probability

Formulas

Standard Error of the Mean (SE) = σ / √n
Z-score = (x̄ - μ) / SE

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12