Math Problem Statement

Wildlife biologists believe that the weights of adult trout can be described by a Normal model. They collect data from fishermen, finding 22% of the trout caught were thrown back because they were below the 2-pound minimum, and only 6% weighed over 5 pounds. What mean and standard deviation should define the model?

Solution

The problem describes the weights of adult trout following a Normal distribution, and we're tasked with finding the mean (μ) and standard deviation (σ) that define this model.

Here’s what we know from the problem:

  1. 22% of the trout weigh below 2 pounds.
  2. 6% of the trout weigh above 5 pounds.

Step 1: Use Z-scores

In a normal distribution, the percentage of data less than or greater than a given value corresponds to a Z-score. We can use a Z-table (or calculator) to find the Z-scores corresponding to these percentages.

  • 22% below 2 pounds means that the cumulative probability is 0.22. The Z-score for 0.22 is approximately -0.77.

  • 6% above 5 pounds means that the cumulative probability below 5 pounds is 0.94 (since 100% - 6% = 94%). The Z-score for 0.94 is approximately 1.55.

Step 2: Set up equations

The formula for a Z-score is:

Z=XμσZ = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}

We can now set up two equations based on the Z-scores and the weights:

  1. For 2 pounds (Z = -0.77): 0.77=2μσ-0.77 = \frac{2 - \mu}{\sigma}

  2. For 5 pounds (Z = 1.55): 1.55=5μσ1.55 = \frac{5 - \mu}{\sigma}

Step 3: Solve the system of equations

We now solve this system of equations to find μ (mean) and σ (standard deviation).

First equation:

\mu = 2 + 0.77\sigma \tag{1}

Second equation:

\mu = 5 - 1.55\sigma \tag{2}

Set equation (1) equal to equation (2):

2+0.77σ=51.55σ2 + 0.77\sigma = 5 - 1.55\sigma

Simplify and solve for σ:

0.77σ+1.55σ=520.77\sigma + 1.55\sigma = 5 - 2 2.32σ=32.32\sigma = 3 σ=32.321.29\sigma = \frac{3}{2.32} \approx 1.29

Step 4: Find μ

Substitute σ = 1.29 into either equation (1) or (2). Using equation (1):

μ=2+0.77(1.29)2+0.9932.993\mu = 2 + 0.77(1.29) \approx 2 + 0.993 \approx 2.993

So, the mean is approximately 2.99 pounds, and the standard deviation is approximately 1.29 pounds.

Final Answer:

  • Mean (μ): 2.99 pounds
  • Standard deviation (σ): 1.29 pounds

Would you like more details or have any questions? Here are 5 follow-up questions:

  1. How would the model change if the percentage of trout below 2 pounds increased?
  2. What does the Z-score tell us about the distribution of the data?
  3. How would we interpret the mean in this context for a biologist?
  4. Could you calculate the probability that a randomly caught trout weighs exactly 3 pounds?
  5. What happens to the model if the standard deviation increases?

Tip: Z-scores can be very helpful in quickly relating percentages to real values in normally distributed data!

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Normal Distribution
Z-Scores

Formulas

Z = (X - μ) / σ

Theorems

Properties of Normal Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12