Math Problem Statement

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Assume that the readings at freezing on a bundle of thermometers are normally distributed with a mean of 0°C and a standard deviation of 1.00°C. A single thermometer is randomly selected and tested. Find the probability of obtaining a reading less than -0.859°C.

Solution

To solve this problem, we need to find the probability that a normally distributed thermometer reading is less than 0.859C-0.859^\circ\text{C}. We are given that the distribution has a mean μ=0C\mu = 0^\circ\text{C} and a standard deviation σ=1C\sigma = 1^\circ\text{C}.

The formula for calculating the probability in a normal distribution is based on finding the corresponding z-score, which tells us how many standard deviations the value is away from the mean.

The z-score is calculated by the formula:

z=xμσz = \frac{x - \mu}{\sigma}

Where:

  • xx is the value for which we want to find the probability (in this case, 0.859C-0.859^\circ\text{C}),
  • μ\mu is the mean (0°C),
  • σ\sigma is the standard deviation (1°C).

Step 1: Calculate the z-score

Substitute the values into the formula:

z=0.85901=0.859z = \frac{-0.859 - 0}{1} = -0.859

Step 2: Find the probability

Now, we need to find the probability that a standard normal variable ZZ is less than 0.859-0.859. This is denoted as:

P(Z<0.859)P(Z < -0.859)

Using a standard normal distribution table (or a calculator), we find the cumulative probability corresponding to z=0.859z = -0.859.

From the table, P(Z<0.859)0.1956P(Z < -0.859) \approx 0.1956.

Final Answer:

The probability of obtaining a reading less than 0.859C-0.859^\circ\text{C} is approximately 0.1956 or 19.56%.


Would you like more details on how to read the z-score table or further clarification on this topic?

Here are five related questions you might explore:

  1. What is the probability of obtaining a reading greater than 1.5°C?
  2. How would the result change if the standard deviation was 0.5°C instead of 1°C?
  3. What is the probability of a reading being between -1°C and 1°C?
  4. How do we find the z-score if we know the probability and need the value?
  5. What does a z-score of 0 represent in this context?

Tip: For faster calculations, a cumulative distribution function (CDF) calculator can be used to find probabilities for z-scores directly.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Normal Distribution
Z-Scores
Probability

Formulas

z = (x - μ) / σ

Theorems

Empirical Rule
Standard Normal Distribution Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12 or Introductory College Statistics