Math Problem Statement
A real estate agent has 15 properties that she shows. She feels that there is a 60% chance of selling any one property during a week. The chance of selling any one property is independent of selling another property. Compute the probability of selling more than 5 properties in one week. Round your answer to four decimal places.
Solution
This problem can be modeled using the binomial distribution, which is appropriate when there are a fixed number of independent trials, each with the same probability of success. Here’s how to break it down:
Given:
- Number of properties (n) = 15
- Probability of selling a property (p) = 0.60
- The chance of selling more than 5 properties means we want to find , where represents the number of properties sold in a week.
- The probability of not selling a property is .
We can compute the probability of selling more than 5 properties by finding the complementary probability (i.e., selling 5 or fewer properties), and then subtracting that from 1:
Step 1: Use the Binomial CDF
The probability of selling exactly properties in a week follows the binomial distribution:
For , we sum the probabilities for through :
Step 2: Calculate
Now let’s compute the cumulative probability . For binomial distributions, this is often done using a binomial cumulative distribution function (CDF), which is available in statistical software or scientific calculators.
Using this approach, we find that:
Step 3: Compute
Now, we subtract this result from 1 to find the probability of selling more than 5 properties:
Final Answer:
The probability of selling more than 5 properties in one week is approximately 0.8202.
Would you like a more detailed breakdown of the calculations, or do you have any further questions?
Here are some related questions to expand your understanding:
- How would the probability change if the chance of selling any one property increased to 80%?
- How does the binomial distribution compare to the normal distribution in this type of problem?
- How can you calculate the expected number of properties sold?
- How would you approach the problem if the trials were dependent on each other?
- What is the variance and standard deviation of the number of properties sold?
Tip: For binomial distributions, calculating cumulative probabilities (like ) is often done more efficiently using a calculator or software, especially for large numbers of trials like 15.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Binomial Distribution
Combinatorics
Formulas
P(X = k) = C(n, k) * p^k * (1-p)^(n-k)
P(X > 5) = 1 - P(X <= 5)
Theorems
Binomial Distribution Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 10-12
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