Math Problem Statement
A real estate agent has 18 properties that she shows. She feels that there is a 40% chance of selling any one property during a week. The chance of selling any one property is independent of selling another property. Compute the probability of selling more than 2 properties in one week. Round your answer to four decimal places.
Solution
This problem can be modeled using the binomial distribution. The situation is as follows:
- The number of trials is 18 (the number of properties shown).
- The probability of success on a single trial is 0.40 (the chance of selling a property).
- We are interested in the probability of selling more than 2 properties, which means we want to find , where is the number of properties sold.
The probability mass function (PMF) of a binomial distribution is given by:
Where:
- is the number of properties sold (we'll calculate ).
We need to compute , which is the complement of :
Where:
Now, let's compute these individual probabilities:
Step 1: Calculate , , and
Step 2: Use the complement rule to find
Once the individual probabilities are calculated, we subtract their sum from 1 to get the desired probability.
Let me calculate these values for you. math
Given values
n = 18 # Number of properties shown p = 0.40 # Probability of selling one property q = 1 - p # Probability of not selling a property
Binomial probability function
def binomial_prob(n, k, p): return math.comb(n, k) * (p ** k) * (q ** (n - k))
Calculate P(X = 0), P(X = 1), and P(X = 2)
P_X_0 = binomial_prob(n, 0, p) P_X_1 = binomial_prob(n, 1, p) P_X_2 = binomial_prob(n, 2, p)
Calculate P(X <= 2)
P_X_leq_2 = P_X_0 + P_X_1 + P_X_2
Calculate P(X > 2)
P_X_gt_2 = 1 - P_X_leq_2 P_X_gt_2_rounded = round(P_X_gt_2, 4)
P_X_gt_2_roundedThe probability of selling more than 2 properties in one week is approximately 0.9918.
Let me know if you'd like further details or have any other questions!
Additional Questions:
- How do the binomial distribution and normal distribution compare for this type of problem?
- What is the probability of selling exactly 5 properties in a week?
- How would the probability change if the chance of selling a property was 50% instead of 40%?
- What is the expected number of properties sold in a week?
- How can you use the Poisson distribution to approximate this problem if the number of trials is very large?
Tip:
If you're working with binomial probabilities and the number of trials is large, you can often approximate the binomial distribution with a normal distribution for easier calculations.
Ask a new question for Free
By Image
Drop file here or Click Here to upload
Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Binomial Distribution
Formulas
Binomial Probability Mass Function: P(X = k) = nCk * p^k * (1-p)^(n-k)
Complement Rule: P(X > k) = 1 - P(X ≤ k)
Theorems
Binomial Theorem
Complement Rule
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 11-12
Related Recommendation
Probability of Selling More Than 22 Properties in a Week - Binomial Distribution
Probability of Selling More Than 5 Properties Using Binomial Distribution
Probability of Selling At Least 5 Properties in a Week
Binomial Probability: Selling No More Than 2 Properties with 40% Success Rate
Binomial Distribution: Probability of Selling No More Than 4 Properties from 18