Math Problem Statement
Pollsters are concerned about declining levels of cooperation among persons contacted in surveys. A pollster contacts 88 people in the 18-21 age bracket and finds that 75 of them respond and 13 refuse to respond. When 275 people in the 22-29 age bracket are contacted, 248 respond and 27 refuse to respond.
Assume that 1 of the 363 people is randomly selected. Find the probability of getting someone in the 18-21 age bracket or someone who agreed to respond.
Report the answer as a percent rounded to one decimal place accuracy. You need not enter the "%" symbol.
P(18-21 or agreed) =
%
(Hint: It might be helpful to organize the data into a table first.)
Solution
Let's organize the data into a table for clarity:
Age Bracket | Responded | Refused | Total |
---|---|---|---|
18-21 | 75 | 13 | 88 |
22-29 | 248 | 27 | 275 |
Total | 323 | 40 | 363 |
Given Information:
- The total number of people contacted is 363.
- We need to find the probability of selecting someone who is either:
- In the 18-21 age bracket, or
- Agreed to respond (from either age group).
This requires the union of two events:
- Event A: Person is in the 18-21 age bracket (88 people).
- Event B: Person agreed to respond (323 people).
Step 1: Find the total probability for the union of events.
Using the formula for the union of two events:
-
is the probability of selecting someone in the 18-21 age bracket:
-
is the probability of selecting someone who agreed to respond:
-
is the probability of selecting someone who is in the 18-21 age bracket and agreed to respond:
Step 2: Substitute the values into the formula.
Step 3: Convert the probability to a percentage.
As a percentage, this is:
Thus, the probability of selecting someone in the 18-21 age bracket or someone who agreed to respond is 92.6%.
Would you like any further details or clarification?
Related Questions:
- What is the probability of selecting someone in the 22-29 age bracket?
- What is the probability of selecting someone who refused to respond?
- What is the probability of selecting someone in the 18-21 age bracket who refused to respond?
- How does the probability change if the number of respondents in the 22-29 age bracket increases by 10%?
- What if the probability of refusal increased by 5% in each age bracket? How would the results change?
Tip:
When calculating the probability of a union of two events, don't forget to subtract the overlap (intersection) to avoid double-counting.
Ask a new question for Free
By Image
Drop file here or Click Here to upload
Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Set Theory
Union of Events
Formulas
P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A ∩ B)
Basic probability formula: P(Event) = favorable outcomes / total outcomes
Theorems
The Addition Rule of Probability
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 9-12
Related Recommendation
Probability of Selecting Someone in the 18–21 Age Bracket or Who Refused to Respond
Probability of Selecting a Person with College Education or from India
Probability of Residents Under Age 40 with High School or Some College Education
Calculate Conditional Probability of Employment Status by Age Group
Calculate Probability of U.S. Residents in Their Thirties