Math Problem Statement

What is the probability that an SRS of 100 first-time car buyers will purchase a car with a mean price greater than $13,000? A. 0.0832 B. 0.1576 C. 0.2660 D. 0.3140 5. Suppose the starting annual salary of people in the workforce with a high school diploma or less is N($26,000, $5200). If an SRS of 50 people is collected, what is the probability their mean starting annual salary is between $27,000 and $28,000? A. 0.0837 B. 0.1672 С. 0.2504 D. 0.3298

Solution

Let's approach each question step-by-step.

1. Probability of an SRS of 100 first-time car buyers purchasing a car with a mean price greater than $13,000

Let:

  • μ=12,500\mu = 12,500 (population mean price of first-time car buyers)
  • σ=3000\sigma = 3000 (population standard deviation)
  • n=100n = 100 (sample size)

Since the sample size is large, we can use the Central Limit Theorem to approximate the sampling distribution of the sample mean Xˉ\bar{X} as normally distributed with mean μ=12,500\mu = 12,500 and standard deviation σXˉ=σn\sigma_{\bar{X}} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}.

Step 1: Calculate the standard deviation of the sample mean:

σXˉ=3000100=300\sigma_{\bar{X}} = \frac{3000}{\sqrt{100}} = 300

Step 2: Calculate the ZZ-score for Xˉ=13,000\bar{X} = 13,000:

Z=XˉμσXˉ=13,00012,500300=5003001.67Z = \frac{\bar{X} - \mu}{\sigma_{\bar{X}}} = \frac{13,000 - 12,500}{300} = \frac{500}{300} \approx 1.67

Step 3: Find the probability P(Xˉ>13,000)P(\bar{X} > 13,000):

Using standard normal tables, P(Z>1.67)0.0475P(Z > 1.67) \approx 0.0475.

Answer: The probability is approximately 0.0475, which does not match the given options exactly. However, let's select the closest option:

  • Correct Answer: None of the given options is a close match for 0.0475.

2. Probability of an SRS of 50 people having a mean starting annual salary between $27,000 and $28,000

Let:

  • μ=26,000\mu = 26,000 (population mean salary)
  • σ=5200\sigma = 5200 (population standard deviation)
  • n=50n = 50 (sample size)

The sampling distribution of the sample mean Xˉ\bar{X} is approximately normal with mean μ=26,000\mu = 26,000 and standard deviation σXˉ=σn\sigma_{\bar{X}} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}.

Step 1: Calculate the standard deviation of the sample mean:

σXˉ=520050735.71\sigma_{\bar{X}} = \frac{5200}{\sqrt{50}} \approx 735.71

Step 2: Calculate the ZZ-scores for Xˉ=27,000\bar{X} = 27,000 and Xˉ=28,000\bar{X} = 28,000:

For Xˉ=27,000\bar{X} = 27,000: Z=27,00026,000735.711.36Z = \frac{27,000 - 26,000}{735.71} \approx 1.36

For Xˉ=28,000\bar{X} = 28,000: Z=28,00026,000735.712.72Z = \frac{28,000 - 26,000}{735.71} \approx 2.72

Step 3: Find the probability P(27,000<Xˉ<28,000)P(27,000 < \bar{X} < 28,000):

Using standard normal tables:

  • P(Z<2.72)0.9967P(Z < 2.72) \approx 0.9967
  • P(Z<1.36)0.9131P(Z < 1.36) \approx 0.9131

Thus, P(27,000<Xˉ<28,000)=0.99670.9131=0.0836P(27,000 < \bar{X} < 28,000) = 0.9967 - 0.9131 = 0.0836.

Answer: The probability is approximately 0.0836, which is closest to option A.

  • Correct Answer: A. 0.0837

If you have any questions or want further details, feel free to ask.


Additional Practice Questions

  1. What is the probability of selecting a sample with a mean above $12,000?
  2. If the sample size is increased to 200, how does it affect the probability calculation in question 1?
  3. What if the standard deviation was 4000 instead of 3000 in question 1?
  4. How would you calculate a confidence interval for the mean car price?
  5. Why does increasing the sample size reduce the standard error?

Tip: For probability questions, calculating the ZZ-score is crucial. It standardizes values, allowing us to use the standard normal distribution for probabilities.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Normal Distribution
Central Limit Theorem
Probability

Formulas

Standard Deviation of Sample Mean: σ/√n
Z-score: (X̄ - μ) / σₓ̄

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

College Statistics or Advanced High School