Math Problem Statement

Roy is a member of a motorsport club and regularly drives around the Port Campbell racetrack. The times he takes to complete a lap are normally distributed with mean 59 seconds and standard deviation 3 seconds. Find the probability that Roy completes a lap in less than 55 seconds.

Solution

To find the probability that Roy completes a lap in less than 55 seconds, given that his lap times are normally distributed with a mean (μ\mu) of 59 seconds and a standard deviation (σ\sigma) of 3 seconds, we can use the standard normal distribution formula. Here’s the step-by-step solution:

Step 1: Define the Z-score

The Z-score formula is: Z=XμσZ = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} where:

  • X=55X = 55 seconds (the time we’re interested in),
  • μ=59\mu = 59 seconds (mean lap time),
  • σ=3\sigma = 3 seconds (standard deviation).

Step 2: Calculate the Z-score

Z=55593=431.33Z = \frac{55 - 59}{3} = \frac{-4}{3} \approx -1.33

Step 3: Find the Probability

Using a Z-table or normal distribution calculator, we look up the probability corresponding to Z=1.33Z = -1.33.

The probability that Z<1.33Z < -1.33 is approximately 0.09180.0918.

Conclusion

The probability that Roy completes a lap in less than 55 seconds is approximately 0.0918, or 9.18%.

Would you like further details or have any questions?

Here are some related questions for further exploration:

  1. What is the probability that Roy completes a lap in more than 62 seconds?
  2. What are the chances of Roy completing a lap between 55 and 59 seconds?
  3. How likely is it for Roy to complete a lap in exactly 59 seconds?
  4. If Roy's lap time standard deviation changes to 4 seconds, how does this affect the probability of completing a lap in less than 55 seconds?
  5. What is the probability that Roy completes a lap within one standard deviation of the mean?

Tip: Understanding Z-scores can help compare different data points within a distribution or even across different distributions.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Probability
Normal Distribution
Z-score

Formulas

Z-score formula: Z = (X - μ) / σ

Theorems

Empirical Rule
Properties of the Normal Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12