Math Problem Statement
Solution
This problem is about probability involving two types of boxes. Here's a breakdown of the given situation:
There are 10 boxes containing products:
- 7 boxes are of type 1, with 7 high-quality items (chính phẩm) and 3 defective items (phế phẩm).
- 3 boxes are of type 2, with 8 high-quality items and 2 defective items.
You are asked two questions:
Part (a)
You randomly choose 1 box and draw 2 items from that box. What is the probability that both items are high-quality?
Part (b)
Given that the two items drawn are both high-quality, what is the probability that the selected box was of type 2?
Let's start solving this step-by-step.
Part (a)
Step 1: Probability of selecting a type 1 or type 2 box
- Probability of choosing a type 1 box:
- Probability of choosing a type 2 box:
Step 2: Probability of drawing 2 high-quality items from each type of box
-
Type 1 box: The probability of drawing 2 high-quality items from a type 1 box (7 high-quality and 3 defective items):
-
Type 2 box: The probability of drawing 2 high-quality items from a type 2 box (8 high-quality and 2 defective items):
Step 3: Total probability of drawing 2 high-quality items
Using the law of total probability, the overall probability of drawing 2 high-quality items is: Substitute the values: Simplifying:
So, the probability that both items are high-quality is .
Part (b)
Given that both drawn items are high-quality, find the probability that the selected box was of type 2. We use Bayes' Theorem for this:
Substitute the known values:
Thus, the probability that the box is of type 2, given that both drawn items are high-quality, is .
Would you like more details or explanations on any part of this solution? Here are some additional related questions:
- What is the probability of drawing at least one defective item?
- How would the result change if there were 9 high-quality items and 1 defective item in type 2 boxes?
- What is the conditional probability of drawing two defective items from a type 1 box?
- Can the probability that the items are high-quality be generalized for different numbers of high-quality and defective items?
- What would happen if the number of type 1 and type 2 boxes changed?
Tip: When dealing with conditional probability, Bayes' Theorem is your go-to tool!
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Conditional Probability
Bayes' Theorem
Formulas
P(type 1) = 7/10
P(type 2) = 3/10
P(2 high-quality | type 1) = (7C2) / (10C2)
P(2 high-quality | type 2) = (8C2) / (10C2)
Bayes' Theorem: P(type 2 | 2 high-quality) = [P(2 high-quality | type 2) * P(type 2)] / P(2 high-quality)
Theorems
Bayes' Theorem
Law of Total Probability
Suitable Grade Level
High School (Grades 10-12)
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