Math Problem Statement
A quiz consists of 20 multiple-choice questions, each with 4 possible answers. For someone who makes random guesses for all of the answers, find the probability of passing if the minimum passing grade is 60 %.
Solution
To solve this problem, we need to calculate the probability of passing the quiz, which requires answering at least 60% of the questions correctly. The quiz consists of 20 multiple-choice questions, each with 4 possible answers, and the minimum passing grade is 60%.
Step 1: Determine the Number of Correct Answers Needed to Pass
The quiz has 20 questions, and passing requires answering at least 60% of the questions correctly: So, to pass, a person must answer at least 12 questions correctly.
Step 2: Probability of Answering a Question Correctly
Since the person is guessing randomly, the probability of guessing a question correctly is: Thus, the probability of guessing incorrectly is:
Step 3: Define the Situation as a Binomial Distribution
This is a binomial distribution problem because:
- There are 20 questions (trials),
- Each question has two possible outcomes (correct or incorrect),
- The probability of success (correct answer) is 0.25 for each trial.
The number of correct answers, , follows a binomial distribution .
We need to calculate the probability that the person gets at least 12 correct answers, i.e., .
Step 4: Calculate the Probability of Passing
To find the probability of passing, we sum the probabilities of getting 12 or more correct answers: The probability mass function for a binomial distribution is given by: Where:
- is the binomial coefficient,
- is the probability of a correct answer,
- is the number of correct answers.
This calculation involves multiple terms, so it's best done using a statistical calculator, a software tool like Python, or a binomial table.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Binomial Distribution
Combinatorics
Formulas
P(correct) = 1/4 = 0.25
P(incorrect) = 1 - P(correct) = 0.75
P(X = k) = C(n, k) * p^k * (1-p)^(n-k)
P(X >= 12) = P(X = 12) + P(X = 13) + ... + P(X = 20)
Theorems
Binomial Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 10-12
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