Math Problem Statement

If X ~ N(13,6^2), what is P(X > 11.5)?

Solution

Given XN(13,62)X \sim N(13, 6^2), where μ=13\mu = 13 is the mean and σ2=62\sigma^2 = 6^2 is the variance (with σ=6\sigma = 6 as the standard deviation), we are tasked with finding P(X>11.5)P(X > 11.5).

Step 1: Standardize the Normal Distribution

To compute this, we convert XX into the standard normal variable ZZ using the formula:

Z=XμσZ = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}

For X=11.5X = 11.5:

Z=11.5136=1.56=0.25Z = \frac{11.5 - 13}{6} = \frac{-1.5}{6} = -0.25

Step 2: Find the Probability

We now want to find P(X>11.5)=P(Z>0.25)P(X > 11.5) = P(Z > -0.25).

Using the symmetry of the normal distribution and the standard normal tables, we know:

P(Z>0.25)=1P(Z0.25)P(Z > -0.25) = 1 - P(Z \leq -0.25)

From standard normal tables or a calculator, P(Z0.25)0.4013P(Z \leq -0.25) \approx 0.4013.

Thus,

P(X>11.5)=10.4013=0.5987P(X > 11.5) = 1 - 0.4013 = 0.5987

Final Answer:

P(X>11.5)0.5987P(X > 11.5) \approx 0.5987

Would you like further clarification on any part of this process or more details?


Here are some related questions:

  1. How do we interpret the standard normal table values?
  2. What is the general process for finding probabilities using the normal distribution?
  3. How does variance affect the shape of the normal distribution?
  4. How would the probability change if σ\sigma were smaller or larger?
  5. What is the relationship between the cumulative distribution function (CDF) and probability?

Tip: When working with normal distributions, always start by converting to the standard normal distribution to utilize tables or software efficiently.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Normal Distribution
Standard Normal Distribution
Probability

Formulas

Z = (X - μ) / σ
P(X > 11.5) = 1 - P(Z ≤ -0.25)

Theorems

Properties of the Standard Normal Distribution
Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)

Suitable Grade Level

College Level / Advanced High School