Math Problem Statement

Suppose that you conduct three different t-tests to analyze the results of an experiment with three independent samples. Each individual t-test uses α = .05. The probability of a Type 1 error occurring in any of the hypothesis tests is .05.

Solution

When conducting multiple t-tests, each with an individual significance level (α=0.05\alpha = 0.05), the cumulative probability of making at least one Type I error across all tests increases. This is known as the "family-wise error rate."

For three independent tests, the family-wise error rate (αFW\alpha_{\text{FW}}) can be calculated using the formula: αFW=1(1α)k\alpha_{\text{FW}} = 1 - (1 - \alpha)^k where kk is the number of tests (in this case, k=3k = 3) and α\alpha is the significance level for each test (here, α=0.05\alpha = 0.05).

Calculating this: αFW=1(10.05)3\alpha_{\text{FW}} = 1 - (1 - 0.05)^3 αFW=1(0.95)3\alpha_{\text{FW}} = 1 - (0.95)^3 αFW10.8574\alpha_{\text{FW}} \approx 1 - 0.8574 αFW0.1426\alpha_{\text{FW}} \approx 0.1426

Therefore, the probability of making at least one Type I error across the three tests is approximately 0.1426 or 14.26%.

Would you like more details on family-wise error rate control methods or the implications of multiple testing? Here are some further questions to consider:

  1. How does the family-wise error rate change with an increasing number of tests?
  2. What methods can be used to control the family-wise error rate in multiple comparisons?
  3. Why is controlling the family-wise error rate important in experimental research?
  4. How does the Bonferroni correction work to adjust the significance level?
  5. How does the probability of a Type I error impact the conclusions drawn from hypothesis testing?

Tip: When conducting multiple tests, consider using methods like the Bonferroni correction to reduce the likelihood of a Type I error.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Hypothesis Testing
Type I Error
Family-wise Error Rate
Multiple Comparisons

Formulas

Family-wise error rate: α_FW = 1 - (1 - α)^k
α_FW = 1 - (1 - 0.05)^3

Theorems

Family-wise Error Rate Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

College Level (Statistics)