Math Problem Statement

Let A, B, and C be three events. We know that P (B) = 0.5, P (C) = 0.8, and P (B ∩ C) = 0.45. (a) If A and B are disjoint, and A and C are also disjoint, what is the largest value that P (A) can be? (b) If instead, A and B are disjoint, but A and C are not disjoint, what is the largest value that P (A) can be?

Solution

We are given that events AA, BB, and CC have certain properties, and we need to find the largest possible value for P(A)P(A) under two different sets of conditions.

Part (a) – When AA is disjoint with both BB and CC:

Key information:

  • P(B)=0.5P(B) = 0.5
  • P(C)=0.8P(C) = 0.8
  • P(BC)=0.45P(B \cap C) = 0.45
  • AB=A \cap B = \emptyset (A and B are disjoint)
  • AC=A \cap C = \emptyset (A and C are disjoint)

Since AA is disjoint with both BB and CC, this means:

  • P(AB)=0P(A \cap B) = 0
  • P(AC)=0P(A \cap C) = 0

Thus, AA cannot overlap with either BB or CC, so P(A)P(A) must be less than or equal to the remaining portion of the sample space that is not occupied by BCB \cup C.

We can calculate the probability of BCB \cup C as follows: P(BC)=P(B)+P(C)P(BC)=0.5+0.80.45=0.85P(B \cup C) = P(B) + P(C) - P(B \cap C) = 0.5 + 0.8 - 0.45 = 0.85 Since BCB \cup C covers 85% of the sample space, the remaining portion is: 1P(BC)=10.85=0.151 - P(B \cup C) = 1 - 0.85 = 0.15 Therefore, the largest value that P(A)P(A) can take is the remaining 0.15. Hence: P(A)0.15P(A) \leq 0.15 The largest possible value of P(A)P(A) in this case is 0.15.

Part (b) – When AA is disjoint with BB but not disjoint with CC:

Key information:

  • P(AB)=0P(A \cap B) = 0 (A and B are disjoint)
  • ACA \cap C \neq \emptyset (A and C are not disjoint)

In this case, AA can overlap with CC, but it must still be disjoint with BB. To maximize P(A)P(A), we want AA to include as much probability as possible. Since AA cannot overlap with BB, we know that: P(AB)=0P(A \cap B) = 0

However, AA can overlap with CC, and CC has a probability of 0.8. The largest value for P(A)P(A) would occur when AA includes all of the probability from CC, along with any portion of the sample space that is not part of BB.

Thus, AA can consist of:

  • All of CC, which has probability 0.8
  • Any part of the sample space outside of BB, since AA is disjoint with BB.

Since P(B)=0.5P(B) = 0.5, the portion of the sample space not occupied by BB is 1P(B)=0.51 - P(B) = 0.5. Therefore, AA can include up to 0.5 from the total sample space.

The largest value for P(A)P(A) occurs when AA consists of all of CC (which has a probability of 0.8), but because P(A)P(A) cannot overlap with BB, we must subtract the intersection P(BC)P(B \cap C) from this maximum: P(A)=P(C)=0.8P(A) = P(C) = 0.8 Hence, the largest possible value of P(A)P(A) is 0.8.

Summary of Results:

  • (a) The largest possible value of P(A)P(A) when AA is disjoint with both BB and CC is 0.15.
  • (b) The largest possible value of P(A)P(A) when AA is disjoint with BB but not with CC is 0.8.

Would you like further details on any part of this problem?

Here are 5 related questions for further practice:

  1. What is the probability of BcCB^c \cap C?
  2. If ABA \cap B \neq \emptyset, how does this affect P(A)P(A)?
  3. Can two events be disjoint and independent? Explain.
  4. How would you calculate P(BCc)P(B \cup C^c)?
  5. What is the minimum value of P(A)P(A) in part (b)?

Tip: When working with probabilities of combined events, always check if events are independent, disjoint, or overlapping, as these properties will guide your calculation strategy.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability Theory
Disjoint Events
Set Operations

Formulas

P(B ∪ C) = P(B) + P(C) - P(B ∩ C)
P(A ∪ B ∪ C) = P(A) + P(B) + P(C) - P(A ∩ B) - P(A ∩ C) - P(B ∩ C)

Theorems

Addition Rule for Probability
Disjointness Property

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12