Math Problem Statement

The weights of ice cream cartons are normally distributed with a mean weight of 9 ounces and a standard deviation of 0.3 ounce. ​(a) What is the probability that a randomly selected carton has a weight greater than 9.09 ​ounces? ​(b) A sample of 36 cartons is randomly selected. What is the probability that their mean weight is greater than 9.09 ​ounces?

Solution

To solve this problem, we will use the standard normal distribution and the Z-score formula for both individual values and sample means.

Given:

  • Mean weight, μ=9\mu = 9 ounces
  • Standard deviation, σ=0.3\sigma = 0.3 ounces

Part (a): Probability that a randomly selected carton has a weight greater than 9.09 ounces

We use the Z-score formula for a single data point:

Z=XμσZ = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}

Where:

  • X=9.09X = 9.09 (the value of interest)
  • μ=9\mu = 9 (mean)
  • σ=0.3\sigma = 0.3 (standard deviation)

Z=9.0990.3=0.090.3=0.3Z = \frac{9.09 - 9}{0.3} = \frac{0.09}{0.3} = 0.3

Now, we need to find the probability that Z>0.3Z > 0.3. Using the standard normal distribution table (or a calculator), the cumulative probability for Z=0.3Z = 0.3 is approximately 0.6179.

Thus, the probability that Z>0.3Z > 0.3 is:

P(Z>0.3)=1P(Z0.3)=10.6179=0.3821P(Z > 0.3) = 1 - P(Z \leq 0.3) = 1 - 0.6179 = 0.3821

So, the probability that a randomly selected carton weighs more than 9.09 ounces is 0.3821 or 38.21%.


Part (b): Probability that the mean weight of a sample of 36 cartons is greater than 9.09 ounces

For a sample mean, the standard deviation of the sampling distribution (also called the standard error) is given by:

σmean=σn\sigma_{\text{mean}} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}

Where:

  • σ=0.3\sigma = 0.3
  • n=36n = 36

σmean=0.336=0.36=0.05\sigma_{\text{mean}} = \frac{0.3}{\sqrt{36}} = \frac{0.3}{6} = 0.05

Now, we calculate the Z-score for the sample mean:

Z=XˉμσmeanZ = \frac{\bar{X} - \mu}{\sigma_{\text{mean}}}

Where Xˉ=9.09\bar{X} = 9.09 (the sample mean of interest):

Z=9.0990.05=0.090.05=1.8Z = \frac{9.09 - 9}{0.05} = \frac{0.09}{0.05} = 1.8

Next, using the standard normal distribution, the cumulative probability for Z=1.8Z = 1.8 is approximately 0.9641.

Thus, the probability that Z>1.8Z > 1.8 is:

P(Z>1.8)=1P(Z1.8)=10.9641=0.0359P(Z > 1.8) = 1 - P(Z \leq 1.8) = 1 - 0.9641 = 0.0359

So, the probability that the mean weight of the sample is greater than 9.09 ounces is 0.0359 or 3.59%.


Summary:

  • (a) The probability that a randomly selected carton has a weight greater than 9.09 ounces is 38.21%.
  • (b) The probability that the mean weight of a sample of 36 cartons is greater than 9.09 ounces is 3.59%.

Would you like a detailed explanation of any part? Here are five related questions to explore:

  1. How does increasing the sample size affect the standard error of the mean?
  2. What is the probability of a carton weighing less than 8.7 ounces?
  3. How can you determine if a distribution is normally distributed based on sample data?
  4. How would the probabilities change if the standard deviation were larger?
  5. What is the Z-score interpretation for values below the mean?

Tip: The standard error decreases as the sample size increases, making the sample mean more reliable!

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Statistics
Normal Distribution
Sampling Distribution

Formulas

Z = (X - μ) / σ
Standard error of the mean: σ_mean = σ / sqrt(n)

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Standard Normal Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12