Math Problem Statement
Assume that when human resource managers are randomly selected, 56% say job applicants should follow up within two weeks. If 11 human resource managers are randomly selected, find the probability that fewer than 3 of them say job applicants should follow up within two weeks.
Solution
This problem can be solved using the binomial probability formula, as it involves a fixed number of trials (11 human resource managers), two possible outcomes (whether or not they say applicants should follow up within two weeks), and a constant probability of success (56%).
Step 1: Define the binomial distribution
The binomial distribution is given by:
where:
- is the probability of exactly successes,
- is the number of trials (11 managers),
- is the probability of success (0.56),
- is the number of successes (managers who say applicants should follow up within two weeks),
- is the binomial coefficient.
Step 2: Identify what we need
We are asked to find the probability that fewer than 3 human resource managers say applicants should follow up within two weeks. This means we need to find the sum of probabilities for , , and :
Step 3: Calculate each probability
Now, we'll calculate the individual probabilities using the binomial probability formula for , , and .
For :
For :
For :
Step 4: Sum the probabilities
Finally, we'll sum , , and to find the total probability.
Let me calculate that for you.The probability that fewer than 3 out of 11 human resource managers say job applicants should follow up within two weeks is approximately 0.0125, or 1.25%.
Would you like more details or have any questions about the process?
Here are 5 related questions to further explore:
- How does the probability change if 15 managers are selected instead of 11?
- What if the probability of success changes to 70%? How does that affect the result?
- How can we calculate the expected number of managers who say applicants should follow up within two weeks?
- How does the binomial distribution approximate the normal distribution as the sample size increases?
- Can you use a cumulative binomial distribution table for this problem, and how?
Tip: The binomial distribution is useful when you're dealing with independent trials, each with the same probability of success.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Binomial Distribution
Probability
Formulas
P(X = k) = (n choose k) * p^k * (1 - p)^(n - k)
P(X < 3) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2)
Theorems
Binomial Probability Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 10-12
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