Math Problem Statement

A fair coin is tossed 8 times. Let X be the number of heads obtained. What is the probability of getting exactly 5 heads? Find the expected value and variance of X.

Solution

Let's solve the problem step by step.

Part 1: Probability of getting exactly 5 heads

Since the coin is fair, each toss has a probability of 12\frac{1}{2} for heads or tails. The number of heads XX obtained after 8 tosses follows a binomial distribution.

The probability of getting exactly kk heads in nn tosses is given by the binomial probability formula:

P(X=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nkP(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k}

Where:

  • n=8n = 8 (the number of tosses),
  • k=5k = 5 (the number of heads),
  • p=12p = \frac{1}{2} (the probability of getting heads on a single toss).

So, the probability of getting exactly 5 heads is:

P(X=5)=(85)(12)5(12)85P(X = 5) = \binom{8}{5} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^5 \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{8-5}

Simplifying:

P(X=5)=(85)(12)8P(X = 5) = \binom{8}{5} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^8

First, calculate the binomial coefficient (85)\binom{8}{5}:

(85)=8!5!(85)!=8×7×63×2×1=56\binom{8}{5} = \frac{8!}{5!(8-5)!} = \frac{8 \times 7 \times 6}{3 \times 2 \times 1} = 56

Now, calculate the probability:

P(X=5)=56×(12)8=56×1256=56256=732P(X = 5) = 56 \times \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^8 = 56 \times \frac{1}{256} = \frac{56}{256} = \frac{7}{32}

So, the probability of getting exactly 5 heads is 732\frac{7}{32}.


Part 2: Expected Value of XX

The expected value E(X)E(X) for a binomial distribution XBinomial(n,p)X \sim \text{Binomial}(n, p) is given by:

E(X)=n×pE(X) = n \times p

For n=8n = 8 and p=12p = \frac{1}{2}:

E(X)=8×12=4E(X) = 8 \times \frac{1}{2} = 4

So, the expected value of XX is 44.


Part 3: Variance of XX

The variance Var(X)\text{Var}(X) for a binomial distribution XBinomial(n,p)X \sim \text{Binomial}(n, p) is given by:

Var(X)=n×p×(1p)\text{Var}(X) = n \times p \times (1 - p)

For n=8n = 8 and p=12p = \frac{1}{2}:

Var(X)=8×12×12=8×14=2\text{Var}(X) = 8 \times \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{2} = 8 \times \frac{1}{4} = 2

So, the variance of XX is 22.


Final Answers:

  • Probability of getting exactly 5 heads: 732\frac{7}{32}
  • Expected value: 44
  • Variance: 22

Would you like more details or have any questions about the steps?

Here are some follow-up questions for further exploration:

  1. How would the probability change if we were looking for 6 heads instead of 5?
  2. What happens to the expected value and variance if the coin is biased, say with a 70% chance of heads?
  3. How would the probability of 5 heads be calculated if the coin were tossed 10 times instead of 8?
  4. What is the cumulative probability of getting 5 or fewer heads in 8 tosses?
  5. How do we interpret the expected value in the context of this coin tossing experiment?

Tip: The binomial distribution works well when there are two possible outcomes (like heads or tails), and the number of trials is fixed. Make sure the trials are independent!

Ask a new question for Free

By Image

Drop file here or Click Here to upload

Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Binomial Distribution
Expected Value
Variance

Formulas

P(X = k) = C(n, k) * p^k * (1 - p)^(n - k)
E(X) = n * p
Var(X) = n * p * (1 - p)

Theorems

Binomial Distribution Theorem
Properties of Expected Value
Properties of Variance

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12