Math Problem Statement

Given a deck of 60 decks comprised of 40 aces and 20 kings, what is the probability of drawing exactly one king in a hand of seven cards?

Solution

We are tasked with finding the probability of drawing exactly one King in a hand of seven cards from a deck of 60 cards, which contains 40 Aces and 20 Kings.

Step 1: Total possible hands

The total number of ways to choose 7 cards from a deck of 60 cards can be calculated using combinations:

Total possible hands=(607)\text{Total possible hands} = \binom{60}{7}

Where (607)\binom{60}{7} represents the number of ways to select 7 cards from 60, calculated as:

(607)=60!7!(607)!\binom{60}{7} = \frac{60!}{7!(60-7)!}

Step 2: Number of favorable outcomes

To draw exactly 1 King and 6 Aces, we need to:

  1. Choose 1 King from the 20 Kings.
  2. Choose 6 Aces from the 40 Aces.

The number of favorable ways to do this can be calculated by multiplying the number of ways to select 1 King and the number of ways to select 6 Aces:

Favorable outcomes=(201)×(406)\text{Favorable outcomes} = \binom{20}{1} \times \binom{40}{6}

Where:

  • (201)=20\binom{20}{1} = 20 (ways to choose 1 King)
  • (406)=40!6!(406)!\binom{40}{6} = \frac{40!}{6!(40-6)!} (ways to choose 6 Aces)

Step 3: Probability

The probability is the ratio of favorable outcomes to total possible outcomes:

P(exactly 1 King)=(201)×(406)(607)P(\text{exactly 1 King}) = \frac{\binom{20}{1} \times \binom{40}{6}}{\binom{60}{7}}

Step 4: Simplification and Calculation

Let me calculate the values of the combinations to provide the exact probability.

(201)=20\binom{20}{1} = 20

(406)=40×39×38×37×36×356×5×4×3×2×1=3838380\binom{40}{6} = \frac{40 \times 39 \times 38 \times 37 \times 36 \times 35}{6 \times 5 \times 4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1} = 3838380

(607)=60×59×58×57×56×55×547×6×5×4×3×2×1=386206920\binom{60}{7} = \frac{60 \times 59 \times 58 \times 57 \times 56 \times 55 \times 54}{7 \times 6 \times 5 \times 4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1} = 386206920

So, the probability is:

P(exactly 1 King)=20×3838380386206920=767676003862069200.1989P(\text{exactly 1 King}) = \frac{20 \times 3838380}{386206920} = \frac{76767600}{386206920} \approx 0.1989

Thus, the probability of drawing exactly one King in a hand of seven cards is approximately 0.1989, or 19.89%.

Would you like to explore further details or calculations? Here are some related questions you might find interesting:

  1. How does the probability change if we draw a different number of cards?
  2. How would the probability change if the deck had a different ratio of Kings to Aces?
  3. What is the probability of drawing no Kings at all in a hand of 7 cards?
  4. How can we calculate the probability of drawing at least one King in a hand of 7 cards?
  5. How does the concept of "hypergeometric distribution" apply to this scenario?

Tip: When solving probability problems involving combinations, it's often helpful to recognize when you're dealing with hypergeometric distribution, which is commonly used when sampling without replacement.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Combinatorics
Hypergeometric Distribution

Formulas

Combination formula: C(n, k) = n! / (k!(n-k)!)
Probability formula: P = (Favorable Outcomes) / (Total Outcomes)

Theorems

Hypergeometric Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12, College Level