Math Problem Statement

Question Patrick is studying the relationship between the time spent studying per day and the time spent reading per day and has collected the data shown in the table. The line of best fit for the data is ˆ y

0.135 x + 36.6 . Studying (Minutes) Reading (Minutes) 60 45 80 47 100 50 120 53

(a) According to the line of best fit, the predicted number of minutes spent reading for someone who spent 122 minutes studying is 53.07 .

(b) Is it reasonable to use this line of best fit to make the above prediction?

Select the correct answer below:

The estimate, a predicted time of 53.07 minutes, is both unreliable and unreasonable.

The estimate, a predicted time of 53.07 minutes, is both reliable and reasonable.

The estimate, a predicted time of 53.07 minutes, is reliable but unreasonable.

The estimate, a predicted time of 53.07 minutes, is unreliable but reasonable.

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Solution

Let's break this down carefully.

The line of best fit is given by the equation: y^=0.135x+36.6\hat{y} = 0.135x + 36.6 where xx is the number of minutes spent studying, and y^\hat{y} is the predicted number of minutes spent reading.

Part (a)

The prediction for 122 minutes spent studying can be found using the line of best fit formula.

Substitute x=122x = 122 into the equation: y^=0.135(122)+36.6=16.47+36.6=53.07\hat{y} = 0.135(122) + 36.6 = 16.47 + 36.6 = 53.07 So, the predicted reading time is indeed 53.07 minutes.

Part (b)

To determine whether this estimate is reasonable and reliable, consider a few key points:

  1. Range of the data: The given data points for studying range from 60 to 120 minutes. The prediction for 122 minutes falls slightly outside this range, but only by 2 minutes. Hence, it is not a significant extrapolation.

  2. Consistency of data: The data shows a roughly linear relationship between studying and reading time. The equation reflects this trend, so the prediction based on this equation should be reliable.

  3. Reasonableness: Since the prediction is based on a small extrapolation (just 2 minutes outside the data), it remains reasonable.

Conclusion:

The estimate of 53.07 minutes is both reliable and reasonable, as it is based on a well-fitting linear model and is close to the observed data points.

Thus, the correct answer is: The estimate, a predicted time of 53.07 minutes, is both reliable and reasonable.


Would you like more details or have any questions? Here are 5 related questions to deepen understanding:

  1. What does "extrapolation" mean in the context of linear regression?
  2. How do we determine if a line of best fit is appropriate for a given dataset?
  3. Why is it important to check the range of data before making predictions?
  4. Can the line of best fit be used to make predictions far outside the observed data range?
  5. What factors could make a prediction unreliable even if the line of best fit seems accurate?

Tip: In linear regression, predictions made within the range of data are generally more reliable than those made outside the range (extrapolation).

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Linear Regression
Line of Best Fit
Prediction
Extrapolation

Formulas

ŷ = 0.135x + 36.6

Theorems

Linear Regression Line Equation

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 9-12