Math Problem Statement
The data in the table shows the population P(x) of a particular species at time x (in years). Determine a linear model and predict the population in year 88. x 0 11 25 31 44 59 66 74 P(x) 2 58 122 149 227 302 331 367 Remember: when predicting a population, always discard partial units dash – in other words, round down.
Solution
To determine a linear model for the population over time , we'll first calculate the best-fitting line using the given data points. The linear model has the form:
Where:
- is the slope of the line.
- is the y-intercept.
Step 1: Calculate the Slope
The slope is calculated using the formula:
Step 2: Calculate the Intercept
The y-intercept is calculated using:
Where is the number of data points, values are the time in years, and are the corresponding populations.
Step 3: Use the Linear Model to Predict the Population at Year 88
After calculating the slope and intercept, substitute into the linear equation to predict the population.
I'll proceed with the calculations to determine the slope and intercept .The linear model predicts that the population at year 88 would be approximately 441. Since you mentioned to discard partial units, the predicted population in year 88 is 441.
Would you like further details or have any questions?
Here are 5 related questions:
- How is the slope of a linear model interpreted in this context?
- What could be the limitations of using a linear model for predicting population growth?
- How would you check the accuracy of the linear model?
- Can you explain how to determine if a linear model is the best fit for this data?
- What would be the population in year 100 using this model?
Tip: When fitting a model to data, always check the residuals (differences between observed and predicted values) to ensure that the model appropriately captures the data trend.
Ask a new question for Free
By Image
Drop file here or Click Here to upload
Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Linear regression
Slope-intercept form
Formulas
Slope formula
Linear regression formula
Theorems
-
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 10-12