Math Problem Statement

The data in the table shows the population P(x) of a particular species at time x (in years). Determine a linear model and predict the population in year 88. x 0 11 25 31 44 59 66 74 P(x) 2 58 122 149 227 302 331 367 Remember: when predicting a population, always discard partial units dash – in other words, round down.

Solution

To determine a linear model for the population P(x)P(x) over time xx, we'll first calculate the best-fitting line using the given data points. The linear model has the form:

P(x)=mx+bP(x) = mx + b

Where:

  • mm is the slope of the line.
  • bb is the y-intercept.

Step 1: Calculate the Slope mm

The slope mm is calculated using the formula:

m=n(xy)xynx2(x)2m = \frac{n\sum{(xy)} - \sum{x}\sum{y}}{n\sum{x^2} - (\sum{x})^2}

Step 2: Calculate the Intercept bb

The y-intercept bb is calculated using:

b=ymxnb = \frac{\sum{y} - m\sum{x}}{n}

Where nn is the number of data points, xx values are the time in years, and y=P(x)y = P(x) are the corresponding populations.

Step 3: Use the Linear Model to Predict the Population at Year 88

After calculating the slope and intercept, substitute x=88x = 88 into the linear equation to predict the population.

I'll proceed with the calculations to determine the slope mm and intercept bb.The linear model predicts that the population at year 88 would be approximately 441. Since you mentioned to discard partial units, the predicted population in year 88 is 441.

Would you like further details or have any questions?

Here are 5 related questions:

  1. How is the slope mm of a linear model interpreted in this context?
  2. What could be the limitations of using a linear model for predicting population growth?
  3. How would you check the accuracy of the linear model?
  4. Can you explain how to determine if a linear model is the best fit for this data?
  5. What would be the population in year 100 using this model?

Tip: When fitting a model to data, always check the residuals (differences between observed and predicted values) to ensure that the model appropriately captures the data trend.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Linear regression
Slope-intercept form

Formulas

Slope formula
Linear regression formula

Theorems

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Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12