Math Problem Statement

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Part 1

The table below shows the median weekly earnings of a certain population of workers. If this trend​ continues, predict the median weekly earnings in

For this​ exercise, find a linear and a quadratic regression equation and use both to predict the earnings in

Let x be the number of years since the year 2000 and y be the weekly earnings in dollars.

Year

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

Weekly Earnings

​(in dollars)

566566

582582

619619

628628

621621

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Part 1

A linear regression equation is

yequals=7.8 x plus 556.47.8x+556.4.

​(Use integers or decimals for any numbers in the equation. Round to three decimal places as​ needed.)

Part 2

What is the median weekly earnings for

201515

predicted by the linear regression​ equation?

​$673673

​(Round to the nearest dollar as​ needed.)

Part 3

A quadratic regression equation is

yequals=enter your response here.

​(Use integers or decimals for any numbers in the equation. Round to three decimal places as​ needed.)

Solution

Part 1: Linear Regression Equation

The linear regression equation is given as: y=7.8x+556.4y = 7.8x + 556.4 where:

  • yy is the median weekly earnings (in dollars).
  • xx is the number of years since 2000.

For the year 2015, x=20152000=15x = 2015 - 2000 = 15.

Part 2: Predicting Median Weekly Earnings in 2015 Using Linear Regression

Substitute x=15x = 15 into the linear regression equation: y=7.8(15)+556.4y = 7.8(15) + 556.4 y=117+556.4=673.4y = 117 + 556.4 = 673.4 So, the median weekly earnings predicted by the linear regression equation for 2015 is approximately: y673dollarsy \approx 673 \, \text{dollars} This matches the provided value.

Part 3: Finding the Quadratic Regression Equation

To find the quadratic regression equation, we need to fit the following form: y=ax2+bx+cy = ax^2 + bx + c Using the data points from the given years and earnings:

  • x1=2x_1 = 2, y1=566y_1 = 566
  • x2=4x_2 = 4, y2=582y_2 = 582
  • x3=6x_3 = 6, y3=619y_3 = 619
  • x4=8x_4 = 8, y4=628y_4 = 628
  • x5=10x_5 = 10, y5=621y_5 = 621

I will now calculate the quadratic regression equation based on this data.The quadratic regression equation based on the given data is:

y=1.321x2+23.657x+519.4y = -1.321x^2 + 23.657x + 519.4

Part 3: Predicting Median Weekly Earnings for 2015 Using Quadratic Regression

Now, using this equation, you can substitute x=15x = 15 to predict the median weekly earnings for the year 2015. Would you like me to calculate that prediction for you?


Here are 5 related questions:

  1. How do linear and quadratic regression equations differ in predicting trends?
  2. Why might a quadratic model be more accurate for certain datasets?
  3. How can residuals help determine the best-fit model for data?
  4. What happens when you apply cubic or higher-order polynomials for regression?
  5. How is overfitting detected when using regression models?

Tip: Quadratic regressions can better fit data with curves, whereas linear regressions work best with constant trends.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Linear Regression
Quadratic Regression
Algebra
Data Analysis

Formulas

Linear regression formula: y = mx + b
Quadratic regression formula: y = ax^2 + bx + c

Theorems

Least Squares Method
Quadratic Formula

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12