Math Problem Statement

The table below shows the median weekly earnings of a certain population of workers. If this trend​ continues, predict the median weekly earnings in 201616. For this​ exercise, find a linear and a quadratic regression equation and use both to predict the earnings in 201616. Let x be the number of years since the year 2000 and y be the weekly earnings in dollars. Year 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

Weekly Earnings ​(in dollars) 570570 580580 613613 625625 614614 Question content area bottom Part 1 A linear regression equation is yequals=6.65 x plus 560.56.65x+560.5. ​(Use integers or decimals for any numbers in the equation. Round to three decimal places as​ needed.) Part 2 What is the median weekly earnings for 201616 predicted by the linear regression​ equation?

Solution

Given the linear regression equation for the median weekly earnings:

y=6.65x+560.5y = 6.65x + 560.5

where xx is the number of years since the year 2000, and yy is the weekly earnings in dollars.

To predict the earnings in the year 2016, first calculate xx for the year 2016:

x=20162000=16x = 2016 - 2000 = 16

Now, substitute x=16x = 16 into the linear regression equation:

y=6.65(16)+560.5y = 6.65(16) + 560.5

Calculating this:

y=106.4+560.5=666.9y = 106.4 + 560.5 = 666.9

So, the predicted median weekly earnings for the year 2016 using the linear regression equation is approximately $666.9.

Would you like to calculate the quadratic regression next, or need any clarification?

Here are five questions to deepen the understanding of the concept:

  1. How is a linear regression equation different from a quadratic regression equation?
  2. What does the slope (6.65) represent in this linear regression equation?
  3. How would predictions differ if a non-linear pattern was observed in the data?
  4. What factors could cause deviations from the predicted earnings in real-world scenarios?
  5. Can this regression model be used to predict earnings for a year far in the future, like 2050?

Tip: Always check the residuals (errors) after fitting a regression model to ensure that it is appropriate for the data!

Ask a new question for Free

By Image

Drop file here or Click Here to upload

Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Linear Regression
Quadratic Regression
Data Prediction

Formulas

Linear Regression Equation: y = mx + b
Quadratic Regression Equation: y = ax^2 + bx + c

Theorems

Least Squares Method

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12