Math Problem Statement

You are the foreman of the Bar-S cattle ranch in Colorado. A neighboring ranch has calves for sale, and you are going to buy some to add to the Bar-S herd. How much should a healthy calf weigh? Let x be the age of the calf (in weeks), and let y be the weigh of the calf (in kilograms). uploaded images Complete parts (a) through (e), given Σx=92, Σy=617, Σx^2=2338, Σy^2=82,389, Σxy=13,642, and r≈0.998.

(f) The calves you want to buy are 12 weeks old. What does the least-squares line predict for a healthy weight?

Solution

To find the predicted weight of a 12-week-old calf using the least-squares regression line, we need to follow these steps:

Step 1: Calculate the Slope (mm) and Y-Intercept (bb) of the Least-Squares Line

The slope mm and y-intercept bb of the least-squares line are given by the formulas: m=nxyxynx2(x)2m = \frac{n\sum xy - \sum x \sum y}{n\sum x^2 - (\sum x)^2} b=ymxnb = \frac{\sum y - m\sum x}{n} Where:

  • nn is the number of data points.
  • x\sum x is the sum of the xx values.
  • y\sum y is the sum of the yy values.
  • x2\sum x^2 is the sum of the squares of the xx values.
  • y2\sum y^2 is the sum of the squares of the yy values.
  • xy\sum xy is the sum of the products of the xx and yy values.

Step 2: Substitute the Given Values

Given values:

  • n=6n = 6 (since there are 6 data points),
  • x=92\sum x = 92,
  • y=617\sum y = 617,
  • x2=2338\sum x^2 = 2338,
  • y2=82389\sum y^2 = 82389,
  • xy=13642\sum xy = 13642,
  • r0.998r \approx 0.998.

Step 3: Calculate mm and bb

Let's compute the slope mm first:

m=6×1364292×6176×2338922m = \frac{6 \times 13642 - 92 \times 617}{6 \times 2338 - 92^2}

Now, let's compute the intercept bb:

b=617m×926b = \frac{617 - m \times 92}{6}

Step 4: Predict the Weight for x=12x = 12

Finally, use the least-squares line equation y=mx+by = mx + b to predict the weight when x=12x = 12.

Let me calculate the values for you.### Calculations:

  • Slope (mm): 4.5094.509
  • Y-intercept (bb): 33.69633.696

The least-squares line equation is: y=4.509x+33.696y = 4.509x + 33.696

Prediction:

For a 12-week-old calf (x=12x = 12): y=4.509(12)+33.696=87.803 kilogramsy = 4.509(12) + 33.696 = 87.803 \text{ kilograms}

So, the predicted weight of a 12-week-old healthy calf is approximately 87.8 kilograms.

Would you like to see more details or have any questions?

Here are 5 related questions:

  1. How would the prediction change if the correlation coefficient rr were different?
  2. What would happen to the prediction if the intercept bb were significantly higher or lower?
  3. How does the least-squares method minimize the error in the predictions?
  4. Could the least-squares line be used to predict weights for calves older than those in the dataset? Why or why not?
  5. What is the significance of a correlation coefficient close to 1, as in this case?

Tip: Always verify the assumptions behind your data model, such as linearity and normality, when making predictions.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Linear Regression

Formulas

Least-squares regression line equation

Theorems

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Suitable Grade Level

Advanced High School