Math Problem Statement
Solution
Let's go through the questions and content in the image:
The problem:
We are dealing with a Poisson distribution, as indicated by the probability mass function shown:
Here, represents the number of people entering a security check-in lineup during a 15-minute interval at an airport, and is a parameter in this Poisson distribution.
Part (a) Explanation:
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The question asks: What does represent in the probability model?
The correct answer is C, which states:
- "14.2 represents the average number of people who enter the security check-in lineup every 15 minutes."
This is because, for a Poisson distribution, the parameter (which is 14.2 here) represents the mean number of occurrences (in this case, the number of people entering the lineup) during a given interval (15 minutes).
Part (b) Computation:
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You are asked to compute , the probability that exactly 17 people enter the security check-in lineup in 15 minutes.
Using the formula for the Poisson distribution:
The answer given is 0.07427, which has been verified as correct.
Part (c) Computation:
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Next, you are asked to compute the probability that at least 5 people enter the security lineup in a 5-minute interval.
To solve this, we note that the mean number of people entering the lineup in a 5-minute interval would be scaled accordingly. Since the original interval is 15 minutes with an average of 14.2 people, a 5-minute interval would have:
Now, we want to find for a Poisson distribution with a mean of 4.7333. This can be computed as:
Using the cumulative probabilities for and subtracting from 1 gives us the result 0.31157, which matches the correct answer.
Part (d) Computation:
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Finally, part (d) asks to compute the probability that the uncertain number of people is 17, given that somewhere between 13 and 20 people entered the security lineup in the past 15 minutes.
This can be done using conditional probability:
The individual probabilities can be summed up, and then is divided by that total sum. However, the checkbox suggests that the provided answer might be incorrect.
Would you like detailed steps on how to compute each part? Here are 5 related questions for further practice:
- How do you compute the cumulative distribution for a Poisson distribution?
- How does the mean of a Poisson distribution change when the time interval is scaled?
- What is the significance of conditional probability in this type of distribution?
- Can you compute for the original Poisson distribution in this problem?
- How does the variance of the Poisson distribution relate to its mean?
Tip: The parameter in a Poisson distribution represents both the mean and variance.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Poisson Distribution
Conditional Probability
Formulas
P(X = x) = (e^(-λ) * λ^x) / x! for a Poisson distribution
P(X ≥ 5) = 1 - P(X ≤ 4) for calculating cumulative probability
Conditional Probability P(A | B) = P(A and B) / P(B)
Theorems
Properties of the Poisson Distribution
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 11-12
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