Math Problem Statement
Solution
This problem is based on a Poisson distribution model for the number of people entering a security check-in lineup at an airport. Let me guide you through the solution step by step.
Part (a):
The Poisson distribution is defined as: Where is the rate parameter, which is the average number of occurrences in a given time period. Here, the value 15 represents the rate parameter , which is the average number of people entering the security check-in lineup every 15 minutes. Thus, the most appropriate answer is:
- C. 15 represents the average number of people who enter the security check-in lineup every 15 minutes.
Part (b):
You need to compute the probability that exactly 18 people enter the security check-in lineup in a 15-minute interval. Using the Poisson formula:
Let's compute this:
We will calculate this numerically.
Part (c):
For this part, you are asked to compute the probability that at least 5 people enter the security check-in lineup in a 5-minute interval.
Since the Poisson distribution for the entire 15-minute period has an average rate of 15, we scale it down for a 5-minute interval. The new rate for 5 minutes is:
So, we need to calculate: Where is the cumulative probability for to . This involves summing the probabilities from the Poisson distribution formula for to with .
Part (d):
You're asked to compute the probability that the number of people entering the security lineup is 17, given that the number lies between 15 and 18 (inclusive). This is a conditional probability problem.
We need to compute:
Where:
We will compute these individual probabilities using the Poisson distribution with .
I'll now calculate the values for Parts (b), (c), and (d). Let me work through the math.Here are the results of the calculations:
Part (b):
The probability that 18 people enter the security check-in lineup in a 15-minute interval is:
Part (c):
The probability that at least 5 people enter the security check-in lineup in a 5-minute interval is:
Part (d):
The conditional probability that exactly 17 people entered the security lineup, given that the number lies between 15 and 18 (inclusive), is:
Would you like any further details or clarifications? Here are five related questions that may help expand your understanding:
- How is the Poisson distribution applied to different time intervals?
- What happens to the Poisson distribution as the average rate (λ) increases?
- How is conditional probability calculated in more complex distributions?
- What is the significance of calculating cumulative probabilities in Poisson distribution problems?
- How can you apply the Poisson distribution to real-life scenarios like queues in customer service?
Tip: In the Poisson distribution, always check if the rate parameter needs to be adjusted when considering different time intervals.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Poisson Distribution
Probability Theory
Conditional Probability
Formulas
P(X = x) = (e^-λ * λ^x) / x!
P(X ≥ 5) = 1 - P(X ≤ 4)
Conditional Probability: P(A|B) = P(A and B) / P(B)
Theorems
Poisson Theorem
Conditional Probability
Suitable Grade Level
College Level (or Advanced High School Probability and Statistics)
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