Math Problem Statement
Solution
Let's tackle each part of this problem step-by-step.
Part (i): Prove this market contains no arbitrage.
To prove there is no arbitrage, we need to check if there exists a risk-neutral probability measure under which the discounted price processes of all assets are martingales.
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Risk-Free Asset: Given and , the risk-free rate can be computed as:
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Asset Price Dynamics: We have two assets with initial prices and . Their prices at time follow the distribution:
- with probability 0.5
- with probability 0.25
- with probability 0.25
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Check for Arbitrage: We need to verify if there exists a set of probabilities for the possible outcomes such that the expected discounted price at is equal to the price at .
Define the probabilities of the outcomes as such that: Then calculate the expected values to ensure they satisfy the no-arbitrage condition. If such probabilities exist, then the market contains no arbitrage.
Part (ii): Show that there is a portfolio that replicates .
To prove the existence of a replicating portfolio , we need to show that the contingent claim can be expressed as a linear combination of the asset prices at time .
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Formulate in Terms of and : The claim is dependent on the terminal values of and .
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Linear Combination: Since the market has two assets and one risk-free asset, a self-financing portfolio can potentially replicate . By the completeness of the market (assuming it is complete), there exists a portfolio that can replicate the claim .
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Justification: Since can be expressed as a function of and , the market’s completeness implies the existence of a replicating portfolio.
Part (iii): Prove that the arbitrage-free price of is the value of the portfolio at time 0.
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Arbitrage-Free Price: In a market with no arbitrage, the price of a contingent claim at time 0 is the expected value of its payoff under the risk-neutral measure, discounted by the risk-free rate.
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Value of at Time 0: The arbitrage-free price of , denoted by , is: where is the risk-neutral probability measure.
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Portfolio Value: Since replicates , the value of at time 0 must equal , as any deviation would imply an arbitrage opportunity.
Additional Questions
- What are the steps to calculate the risk-neutral probabilities ?
- How does the presence of a risk-free asset influence the arbitrage conditions in this market?
- Can you construct an explicit replicating portfolio for ?
- How would the solution change if the market were incomplete?
- What assumptions are necessary for the existence of a risk-neutral measure?
Tip: To determine no-arbitrage conditions, focus on ensuring that expected discounted prices align with initial values under some probability distribution.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Arbitrage Theory
Probability Theory
Risk-Neutral Measure
Derivative Pricing
Formulas
Risk-free rate formula: \( r = \frac{B_T}{B_0} - 1 \)
Contingent claim formula: \( X = \sqrt{S_1^1} + \sqrt{S_1^2} \)
Expected value of discounted payoff: \( \pi(X) = \mathbb{E}^Q \left[ \frac{X}{1.1} \right] \)
Theorems
No-Arbitrage Condition
Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing
Law of One Price
Suitable Grade Level
Undergraduate Finance/Economics
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