Math Problem Statement

solve....2. (a). Consider a one-period financial market M = (Bt,St). Assume that the current stock price is $28, and after three months the stock price may either rise to $32 or decline to $26 . Assume that the three-months interest rate for deposits and loans is r = 3%. Find the no arbitrage prices of a call option and a put option with the same strike price K = $28.

Solution

To find the no-arbitrage prices of the European call and put options, we will use the one-period binomial option pricing model. Let's outline the steps and calculate the required prices.

Step-by-Step Solution

  1. Define Variables and Inputs

    • Initial stock price, S0=28S_0 = 28.
    • Up-move stock price, Su=32S_u = 32.
    • Down-move stock price, Sd=26S_d = 26.
    • Strike price of options, K=28K = 28.
    • Risk-free interest rate for three months, r=3%r = 3\% (or 0.030.03).
  2. Calculate the Risk-Neutral Probability pp Using the risk-neutral probability formula: p=(1+r)S0SdSuSdp = \frac{(1 + r)S_0 - S_d}{S_u - S_d} Plugging in the values: p=(1+0.03)28263226=28.84266=2.8460.4733p = \frac{(1 + 0.03) \cdot 28 - 26}{32 - 26} = \frac{28.84 - 26}{6} = \frac{2.84}{6} \approx 0.4733 So, the probability of an up-move p0.4733p \approx 0.4733, and the probability of a down-move 1p0.52671 - p \approx 0.5267.

  3. Calculate Option Payoffs at Expiration

    • If the stock price goes up to Su=32S_u = 32:
      • Call option payoff Cu=max(SuK,0)=max(3228,0)=4C_u = \max(S_u - K, 0) = \max(32 - 28, 0) = 4.
      • Put option payoff Pu=max(KSu,0)=max(2832,0)=0P_u = \max(K - S_u, 0) = \max(28 - 32, 0) = 0.
    • If the stock price goes down to Sd=26S_d = 26:
      • Call option payoff Cd=max(SdK,0)=max(2628,0)=0C_d = \max(S_d - K, 0) = \max(26 - 28, 0) = 0.
      • Put option payoff Pd=max(KSd,0)=max(2826,0)=2P_d = \max(K - S_d, 0) = \max(28 - 26, 0) = 2.
  4. Calculate the Expected Option Values Using the risk-neutral probabilities:

    • Expected call option value: C0=11+r(pCu+(1p)Cd)C_0 = \frac{1}{1 + r} \left( p \cdot C_u + (1 - p) \cdot C_d \right) Substituting values: = \frac{1}{1.03} \times 1.8932 \approx 1.838$$
    • Expected put option value: P0=11+r(pPu+(1p)Pd)P_0 = \frac{1}{1 + r} \left( p \cdot P_u + (1 - p) \cdot P_d \right) Substituting values: = \frac{1}{1.03} \times 1.0534 \approx 1.023$$

Final Answers

  • No-arbitrage price of the call option: C01.838C_0 \approx 1.838
  • No-arbitrage price of the put option: P01.023P_0 \approx 1.023

Would you like further details on any specific part, or do you have questions?

Related Questions:

  1. How does the risk-neutral probability affect the option prices?
  2. What would happen to option prices if the interest rate changes?
  3. How is the binomial option pricing model different from the Black-Scholes model?
  4. What does the no-arbitrage condition imply in financial markets?
  5. How would the option prices change if the stock prices had a different volatility?

Tip:

In options pricing, understanding how to construct a replicating portfolio can be a powerful tool in determining theoretical values of derivatives like calls and puts.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Financial Mathematics
Option Pricing
Binomial Option Pricing Model
Risk-neutral Probability
Expected Value

Formulas

Risk-neutral probability formula: p = (1 + r)S_0 - S_d / S_u - S_d
Call option payoff: C_u = max(S_u - K, 0), C_d = max(S_d - K, 0)
Put option payoff: P_u = max(K - S_u, 0), P_d = max(K - S_d, 0)
Expected option value: C_0 = (1 / (1 + r)) * (p * C_u + (1 - p) * C_d)

Theorems

No-arbitrage pricing theory
Risk-neutral valuation

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12 / Undergraduate