Math Problem Statement

solve step by step 2. (a). Consider a one-period financial market M = (Bt , St). Assume that the current stock price is $28, and after three months the stock price may either rise to $32 or decline to $26 . Assume that the three-months interest rate for deposits and loans is r = 3%. Find the no arbitrage prices of a call option and a put option with the same strike price K = $28.

Solution

To solve this problem, we’ll use the binomial model for option pricing. Here’s the detailed step-by-step solution:

Step 1: Define the Parameters

We are given:

  • Current stock price, S0=28S_0 = 28
  • Stock price after three months, which can either rise to Su=32S_u = 32 or fall to Sd=26S_d = 26
  • Strike price of the option, K=28K = 28
  • Interest rate for three months, r=3%r = 3\%

Step 2: Calculate the Risk-Neutral Probability

The risk-neutral probability is used to find the expected payoff of the option under a no-arbitrage condition. The formula for the risk-neutral probability pp is: p=(1+r)S0SdSuSdp = \frac{(1 + r) S_0 - S_d}{S_u - S_d}

However, we need to adjust the interest rate for the three-month period, as the rate r=3%r = 3\% is usually quoted annually.

Convert Annual Interest Rate to Quarterly Interest Rate

If rr is the annual rate, the three-month interest rate RR is: R=3%4=0.75%=0.0075R = \frac{3\%}{4} = 0.75\% = 0.0075

So, 1+R=1.00751 + R = 1.0075.

Now we can calculate pp: p=(1+R)S0SdSuSd=(1.0075)×28263226p = \frac{(1 + R) S_0 - S_d}{S_u - S_d} = \frac{(1.0075) \times 28 - 26}{32 - 26}

Calculating each part:

  • (1.0075)×28=28.21(1.0075) \times 28 = 28.21
  • SuSd=3226=6S_u - S_d = 32 - 26 = 6
  • p=28.21266=2.2160.3683p = \frac{28.21 - 26}{6} = \frac{2.21}{6} \approx 0.3683

Thus, the risk-neutral probability p0.3683p \approx 0.3683.

Step 3: Calculate the Option Payoffs at Expiration

For the Call Option

The payoff of a call option at expiration is max(SK,0)\max(S - K, 0).

  • If the stock price rises to Su=32S_u = 32: The call payoff is max(3228,0)=4\max(32 - 28, 0) = 4.
  • If the stock price falls to Sd=26S_d = 26: The call payoff is max(2628,0)=0\max(26 - 28, 0) = 0.

For the Put Option

The payoff of a put option at expiration is max(KS,0)\max(K - S, 0).

  • If the stock price rises to Su=32S_u = 32: The put payoff is max(2832,0)=0\max(28 - 32, 0) = 0.
  • If the stock price falls to Sd=26S_d = 26: The put payoff is max(2826,0)=2\max(28 - 26, 0) = 2.

Step 4: Calculate the Expected Payoffs in the Risk-Neutral World

Call Option Expected Payoff

The expected payoff for the call option is: Expected Payoff (Call)=p×4+(1p)×0=0.3683×4+(10.3683)×0\text{Expected Payoff (Call)} = p \times 4 + (1 - p) \times 0 = 0.3683 \times 4 + (1 - 0.3683) \times 0 =1.4732= 1.4732

Put Option Expected Payoff

The expected payoff for the put option is: Expected Payoff (Put)=p×0+(1p)×2=0+(10.3683)×2\text{Expected Payoff (Put)} = p \times 0 + (1 - p) \times 2 = 0 + (1 - 0.3683) \times 2 =1.2634= 1.2634

Step 5: Discount the Expected Payoffs to Present Value

To find the no-arbitrage price of each option, we need to discount the expected payoff to the present value using the risk-free rate.

Call Option Price

Call Price=Expected Payoff (Call)1+R=1.47321.00751.462\text{Call Price} = \frac{\text{Expected Payoff (Call)}}{1 + R} = \frac{1.4732}{1.0075} \approx 1.462

Put Option Price

Put Price=Expected Payoff (Put)1+R=1.26341.00751.254\text{Put Price} = \frac{\text{Expected Payoff (Put)}}{1 + R} = \frac{1.2634}{1.0075} \approx 1.254

Final Answer

The no-arbitrage prices of the options are:

  • Call Option Price: Approximately $1.462
  • Put Option Price: Approximately $1.254

Would you like any further clarification or have additional questions?

Related Questions:

  1. How does the risk-neutral probability affect option pricing in a binomial model?
  2. What happens to the option prices if the interest rate increases?
  3. How would the option prices change if the stock could rise to $35 instead of $32?
  4. What would be the price of a European call option with a different strike price?
  5. How is the binomial model applied in multi-period settings?

Tip:

Always verify the time period of the interest rate in option pricing problems. For instance, if the rate is annual but the option period is shorter, convert the rate accordingly to match the option period.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Binomial Model
Option Pricing
Risk-Neutral Probability
Financial Mathematics

Formulas

Risk-Neutral Probability: p = ((1 + r) * S0 - Sd) / (Su - Sd)
Call Option Payoff: max(S - K, 0)
Put Option Payoff: max(K - S, 0)
Discounted Price: Price = Expected Payoff / (1 + r)

Theorems

No-Arbitrage Pricing Theorem
Risk-Neutral Valuation

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate Finance/Mathematics