Math Problem Statement

Question content area top Part 1 A state lottery game requires that you pick 6 different numbers from 1 to 43. ​(a) Assuming that order is​ unimportant, what is the probability of picking all 6 numbers correctly to win the big​ prize? ​(b) What is the probability of picking exactly 5 of the 6 numbers​ correctly?

​(Use scientific notation. Use the multiplication symbol in the math palette as needed. Round to three decimal places as​ needed.)

Solution

To solve this problem, we'll use combinatorics to calculate the probabilities.

Part (a): Probability of Picking All 6 Numbers Correctly

  1. Total combinations of picking 6 numbers from 43: The number of ways to choose 6 numbers from 43 (order does not matter) is given by the binomial coefficient:

    (nk)=n!k!(nk)!\binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!}

    where n=43n = 43 and k=6k = 6.

    (436)=43!6!(436)!=43!6!37!\binom{43}{6} = \frac{43!}{6!(43-6)!} = \frac{43!}{6! \cdot 37!}

    Calculating this:

    (436)=43×42×41×40×39×386×5×4×3×2×1=609,645\binom{43}{6} = \frac{43 \times 42 \times 41 \times 40 \times 39 \times 38}{6 \times 5 \times 4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1} = 609,645

  2. Probability of picking all 6 numbers correctly: Since there is only 1 winning combination, the probability PP is:

    P=1Total combinations=1609,6451.638×106P = \frac{1}{\text{Total combinations}} = \frac{1}{609,645} \approx 1.638 \times 10^{-6}

Part (b): Probability of Picking Exactly 5 of the 6 Numbers Correctly

  1. Choosing 5 winning numbers: You can choose 5 winning numbers from the 6 winning numbers:

    (65)=6\binom{6}{5} = 6

  2. Choosing 1 losing number: You need to choose 1 losing number from the remaining 37 numbers (since 43 total - 6 winning = 37 losing):

    (371)=37\binom{37}{1} = 37

  3. Total ways to pick exactly 5 correct: Therefore, the total number of ways to pick exactly 5 correct and 1 incorrect is:

    Total ways=(65)(371)=637=222\text{Total ways} = \binom{6}{5} \cdot \binom{37}{1} = 6 \cdot 37 = 222

  4. Probability of picking exactly 5 correct: The probability PP is then:

    P=Total ways to pick 5 correctTotal combinations=222609,6453.636×104P = \frac{\text{Total ways to pick 5 correct}}{\text{Total combinations}} = \frac{222}{609,645} \approx 3.636 \times 10^{-4}

Summary of Results

  • (a) Probability of picking all 6 numbers correctly: 1.638×106\approx 1.638 \times 10^{-6}
  • (b) Probability of picking exactly 5 numbers correctly: 3.636×104\approx 3.636 \times 10^{-4}

Would you like any further details or explanations on these calculations? Here are some related questions you might consider:

  1. How do the probabilities change if more numbers are picked?
  2. What is the expected number of winning tickets sold in a typical lottery draw?
  3. How would the probabilities differ if the total range of numbers increased?
  4. What strategies might increase the odds of winning a lottery?
  5. How do combinations differ from permutations in probability calculations?

Tip: Always verify your calculations step by step to catch any possible errors!

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Combinatorics
Probability

Formulas

Binomial coefficient \( \binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!} \)

Theorems

Combinatorial counting theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12