Math Problem Statement
Solution
The linear regression model for the given data yields the following equation:
where:
- Slope () =
- Intercept () =
The residual plot above shows the distribution of residuals around the week number. Ideally, for a good model fit, the residuals should be randomly scattered around the horizontal axis (at zero). Here, there is a noticeable pattern, suggesting that the linear model may not perfectly fit the data, especially since the residuals increase and decrease in a somewhat systematic way. This could imply that a different model, possibly a non-linear one, might better capture the trend.
Would you like further details on the model, or do you have any questions?
Here are some additional questions you may find helpful:
- How does the residual pattern suggest a potential misfit for the linear model?
- Can we try a different type of regression model to fit this data?
- What effect does the large negative slope have on future predictions for sales?
- How might we interpret the intercept value in the context of week zero?
- What other statistical tests could we perform to assess the fit of this model?
Tip: Checking residual plots is a quick and effective way to visually assess the fit of a regression model.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Linear Regression
Residual Analysis
Data Modeling
Formulas
Linear regression equation: y = mx + b
Residual calculation: residual = observed y - predicted y
Theorems
Least Squares Regression
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 11-12
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