Math Problem Statement

Data from a small bookstore are shown in the accompanying table. The manager wants to predict Sales from Number of Sales People Working. Number of sales people working Sales (in $1000)

3 11

4 12

6 13

8 14

11 18

11 20

13 20

15 23

16 23

19 26

​a) Find the slope​ estimate,

b 1b1.

b 1b1equals=enter your response here

Solution

To find the slope estimate b1b_1 for the linear regression model (predicting Sales from Number of Sales People Working), we use the formula for the slope in simple linear regression:

b1=nxyxynx2(x)2b_1 = \frac{n \sum xy - \sum x \sum y}{n \sum x^2 - (\sum x)^2}

Where:

  • nn is the number of data points (in this case, 10 data points).
  • xx represents the number of sales people working.
  • yy represents the sales (in $1000).
  • x\sum x is the sum of the xx-values.
  • y\sum y is the sum of the yy-values.
  • xy\sum xy is the sum of the product of each pair of xx and yy values.
  • x2\sum x^2 is the sum of the squares of the xx-values.

Let's first organize the data:

Number of Sales People (x)Sales (y)
311
412
613
814
1118
1120
1320
1523
1623
1926

Now, let's calculate the necessary sums:

  1. x=3+4+6+8+11+11+13+15+16+19=106\sum x = 3 + 4 + 6 + 8 + 11 + 11 + 13 + 15 + 16 + 19 = 106
  2. y=11+12+13+14+18+20+20+23+23+26=170\sum y = 11 + 12 + 13 + 14 + 18 + 20 + 20 + 23 + 23 + 26 = 170
  3. x2=32+42+62+82+112+112+132+152+162+192=9+16+36+64+121+121+169+225+256+361=1378\sum x^2 = 3^2 + 4^2 + 6^2 + 8^2 + 11^2 + 11^2 + 13^2 + 15^2 + 16^2 + 19^2 = 9 + 16 + 36 + 64 + 121 + 121 + 169 + 225 + 256 + 361 = 1378
  4. xy=(3×11)+(4×12)+(6×13)+(8×14)+(11×18)+(11×20)+(13×20)+(15×23)+(16×23)+(19×26)\sum xy = (3 \times 11) + (4 \times 12) + (6 \times 13) + (8 \times 14) + (11 \times 18) + (11 \times 20) + (13 \times 20) + (15 \times 23) + (16 \times 23) + (19 \times 26) =33+48+78+112+198+220+260+345+368+494=2118= 33 + 48 + 78 + 112 + 198 + 220 + 260 + 345 + 368 + 494 = 2118

Now, we can substitute these values into the slope formula:

b1=10(2118)(106)(170)10(1378)(106)2b_1 = \frac{10(2118) - (106)(170)}{10(1378) - (106)^2}

Let's compute this:

b1=21180180201378011236=315025541.23b_1 = \frac{21180 - 18020}{13780 - 11236} = \frac{3150}{2554} \approx 1.23

So, the slope estimate b1b_1 is approximately 1.23.


Would you like any further details or explanations? Also, here are some related questions you might find useful:

  1. What does the slope estimate b1b_1 mean in the context of this problem?
  2. How do you calculate the y-intercept (b0b_0) in linear regression?
  3. How can you determine the correlation between the number of salespeople and sales using the regression model?
  4. What is the importance of calculating the coefficient of determination (R²) in regression analysis?
  5. How does increasing the number of salespeople affect sales based on the slope estimate?

Tip: Always double-check your calculations to ensure no errors when performing regression analysis.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Linear Regression
Statistics
Data Analysis

Formulas

b_1 = (n Σxy - Σx Σy) / (n Σx^2 - (Σx)^2)

Theorems

Least Squares Method

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12