Math Problem Statement

Based on the data shown below, a statistician calculates a linear model . x y 2 21.02 3 27.43 4 28.74 5 30.05 6 31.66 7 33.97 8 36.48 9 39.99 Use the model to estimate the y-value when

y =

Use the model to estimate the y-value when

y =

Solution

To estimate the yy-value using a linear model, we first calculate the equation of the line y=mx+by = mx + b based on the data provided. Here are the steps:

Step 1: Compute the slope (mm)

The formula for the slope is:

m=(xixˉ)(yiyˉ)(xixˉ)2m = \frac{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})(y_i - \bar{y})}{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2}

Step 2: Compute the intercept (bb)

The formula for the intercept is:

b=yˉmxˉb = \bar{y} - m\bar{x}

Step 3: Predict yy

Once mm and bb are calculated, substitute the given xx-value into the linear equation:

y=mx+by = mx + b

Let’s calculate these values. numpy as np

Data

x = np.array([2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]) y = np.array([21.02, 27.43, 28.74, 30.05, 31.66, 33.97, 36.48, 39.99])

Calculate mean of x and y

x_mean = np.mean(x) y_mean = np.mean(y)

Calculate slope (m)

m = np.sum((x - x_mean) * (y - y_mean)) / np.sum((x - x_mean) ** 2)

Calculate intercept (b)

b = y_mean - m * x_mean

Define the linear model

def predict_y(x_val): return m * x_val + b

Predict y values for x = 5 and x = 7 (as examples)

y_for_5 = predict_y(5) y_for_7 = predict_y(7)

m, b, y_for_5, y_for_7The equation of the linear model is:

y=2.3255x+18.3774y = 2.3255x + 18.3774

Using this model:

  1. For x=5x = 5: y=2.3255(5)+18.3774=30.00y = 2.3255(5) + 18.3774 = 30.00

  2. For x=7x = 7: y=2.3255(7)+18.3774=34.66y = 2.3255(7) + 18.3774 = 34.66

Let me know if you'd like a more detailed breakdown or calculations for different xx-values.

5 Related Questions:

  1. How can we verify if the linear model is a good fit for this dataset?
  2. What is the interpretation of the slope and intercept in this context?
  3. Can this model be used to predict values outside the provided xx-range? Why or why not?
  4. How would we calculate the residuals for this model?
  5. How does the variability in xx and yy affect the accuracy of the model?

Tip:

Always check the correlation coefficient to evaluate how well a linear model fits the data!

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Linear Regression
Statistics
Algebra

Formulas

Slope formula: m = Σ((x_i - x̄)(y_i - ȳ)) / Σ((x_i - x̄)^2)
Intercept formula: b = ȳ - m * x̄
Linear equation: y = mx + b

Theorems

Least Squares Method

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12