Math Problem Statement
Café Michigan's manager, Gary Stark, suspects that demand for mocha latte coffees depends on the price being charged. Based on historical observations, Gary has gathered the following data, which show the numbers of these coffees sold over six different price values:
Price
Number Sold
$2.70
765
$3.40
510
$2.00
975
$4.10
245
$3.10
320
$4.00
490
Part 2 Using simple linear regressionLOADING... and given that the price per cup is $1.80, the forecasted demand for mocha latte coffees will be enter your response here cups (enter your response rounded to one decimal place).
Solution
To forecast the demand using simple linear regression, we first need to calculate the linear regression equation in the form:
where:
- is the number of cups sold (dependent variable).
- is the price (independent variable).
- is the slope of the regression line.
- is the y-intercept.
Step 1: Organize the Data
Given dataTo forecast the demand using simple linear regression, we first need to calculate the linear regression equation in the form:
where:
- is the number of cups sold (dependent variable).
- is the price (independent variable).
- is the slope of the regression line.
- is the y-intercept.
Step 1: Organize the Data
Given
Price () | Number Sold () |
---|---|
2.70 | 765 |
3.40 | 510 |
2.00 | 975 |
4.10 | 245 |
3.10 | 320 |
4.00 | 490 |
Step 2: Calculate the slope (m) and intercept (b)
We use the following formulas for the slope and intercept: Where:
- is the number of data points.
- is the sum of the product of corresponding and values.
- is the sum of the values.
- is the sum of the values.
- is the sum of the squares of the values.
Step 3: Apply Regression Equation to Predict Demand
Once we have the regression equation , we can substitute (the price) into the equation to forecast the demand.
Let me calculate the values for you:The forecasted demand for mocha latte coffees, given a price of $1.80 per cup, is approximately 961.9 cups (rounded to one decimal place).
Would you like a detailed explanation of the calculations, or do you have any questions?
Here are 5 related questions that expand on this topic:
- How would changing the price to $5.00 affect the forecasted demand?
- What is the significance of the slope in a linear regression model?
- How can we measure the accuracy of this linear regression forecast?
- What would happen to the forecast if we included more historical data points?
- How can other factors (besides price) be included in the demand model?
Tip: Linear regression is best suited when there is a linear relationship between the variables. Always visualize your data to confirm this before applying it.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Linear Regression
Statistics
Formulas
y = mx + b
m = [n(Σxy) - (Σx)(Σy)] / [n(Σx^2) - (Σx)^2]
b = [Σy - m(Σx)] / n
Theorems
Linear Regression Model
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 10-12
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