Math Problem Statement

In 2008 there were 70 million people worldwide who had been infected with a particular disease. At that time the infection rate was 4.7 million people per year. ​(a) Write a formula for a linear function that models the total number of people in millions who were infected with the particular disease x years after 2008. ​(b) Estimate the number of people who may have been infected by the year 2013.

Solution

We can solve the problem in two parts, as requested:

Part (a): Write a formula for a linear function

In 2008, there were 70 million people infected, and the infection rate was increasing by 4.7 million people per year. This scenario can be modeled by a linear function.

Let:

  • P(x)P(x) represent the total number of infected people (in millions) xx years after 2008.
  • xx represent the number of years after 2008.

The linear function can be written in the slope-intercept form:
P(x)=mx+bP(x) = mx + b Where:

  • mm is the rate of change (slope), which is 4.7 million people per year.
  • bb is the initial value in 2008, which is 70 million.

Thus, the formula for the linear function is: P(x)=4.7x+70P(x) = 4.7x + 70

Part (b): Estimate the number of people infected by 2013

To estimate the number of people infected by 2013, we first calculate the value of xx. Since 2013 is 5 years after 2008: x=20132008=5x = 2013 - 2008 = 5 Now, substitute x=5x = 5 into the linear function: P(5)=4.7(5)+70=23.5+70=93.5P(5) = 4.7(5) + 70 = 23.5 + 70 = 93.5 Thus, the estimated number of people infected by the year 2013 is 93.5 million.


Would you like more details or have any questions?

Here are 5 related questions for further exploration:

  1. How would the model change if the infection rate increased by 10% every year?
  2. What would be the infection count in 2020 using this model?
  3. How would the graph of this function look over a 20-year span?
  4. How does the slope m=4.7m = 4.7 affect the prediction for future years?
  5. Can you express the infection rate as a percentage of the population per year?

Tip: In linear models, the slope represents the rate of change, giving us key insights into how quickly the situation evolves over time.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Algebra
Linear Functions

Formulas

Linear function: P(x) = mx + b

Theorems

Slope-Intercept Form

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 8-10