Math Problem Statement
In 2008 there were 70 million people worldwide who had been infected with a particular disease. At that time the infection rate was 4.7 million people per year. (a) Write a formula for a linear function that models the total number of people in millions who were infected with the particular disease x years after 2008. (b) Estimate the number of people who may have been infected by the year 2013.
Solution
We can solve the problem in two parts, as requested:
Part (a): Write a formula for a linear function
In 2008, there were 70 million people infected, and the infection rate was increasing by 4.7 million people per year. This scenario can be modeled by a linear function.
Let:
- represent the total number of infected people (in millions) years after 2008.
- represent the number of years after 2008.
The linear function can be written in the slope-intercept form:
Where:
- is the rate of change (slope), which is 4.7 million people per year.
- is the initial value in 2008, which is 70 million.
Thus, the formula for the linear function is:
Part (b): Estimate the number of people infected by 2013
To estimate the number of people infected by 2013, we first calculate the value of . Since 2013 is 5 years after 2008: Now, substitute into the linear function: Thus, the estimated number of people infected by the year 2013 is 93.5 million.
Would you like more details or have any questions?
Here are 5 related questions for further exploration:
- How would the model change if the infection rate increased by 10% every year?
- What would be the infection count in 2020 using this model?
- How would the graph of this function look over a 20-year span?
- How does the slope affect the prediction for future years?
- Can you express the infection rate as a percentage of the population per year?
Tip: In linear models, the slope represents the rate of change, giving us key insights into how quickly the situation evolves over time.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Algebra
Linear Functions
Formulas
Linear function: P(x) = mx + b
Theorems
Slope-Intercept Form
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 8-10
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